The possibilities of conducting scenario analyses of a sustainable development of the transport system using the emitransys model

• Autorzy: Jacyna-Gołda I. , Gołębiowski P. , Jachimowski R. , Kłodawski M. , Lewczuk K. , Izdebski M. , Szczepański E.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.5604/12314005.1217201

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The article presents selected aspects of shaping pro ecological transport system. Correct, socially responsible, economically reasonable and far-sighted allocation of resources is one of the basic tools of sustainable development shaping. In the case when this concept in a narrower sense refers to shaping the national transport system one can distinguish the general problem: how to invest financial resources in the development of the transport system and how to manage this system in order to one can say about it as "sustainable". The article presents the principles of creating scenario analyses, discusses the procedure and elements of an algorithm for the development of scenarios of the sustainable transport system. The procedure for conducting scenario consists of three stages of research. The analyses were conducted by the use of EMITRANSYS model. The EMITRANSYS model was developed in Visum. Its main elements are the network model, demand model, integrated database and a set of scenarios of an analysis of transport system development. The simulation model EMITRANSYS was developed under the PBS1 project "Shaping of the pro ecological transport system” financed by the National Centre of Science and Development. The project was realized within the consortium consisting of the Faculty of Transport of The Warsaw University of Technology and the Faculty of Machines and Transport of The Poznan University of Technology in the years 2012-2014.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

scenario analysis; scenario procedure; transport ecology; EMITRANSYS; proecological transport system

• Wydawca: Łukasiewicz Research Network - Institute of Aviation ; European Science Society of Powertrain and Transport KONES Poland ; Wydawnictwo Instytutu Technicznego Wojsk Lotniczych
• Czasopismo: Journal of KONES
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: Vol. 23, No. 4
• Strony: 151--158
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 20 poz., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Jacyna-Gołda I.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Production Engineering Institute of Organization of Production Systems Narbutta Street 85, 02-524 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

autor

Gołębiowski P.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport Department of Logistics and Transport Systems Koszykowa Street 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

autor

Jachimowski R.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport Department of Logistics and Transport Systems Koszykowa Street 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

autor

Kłodawski M.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport Department of Logistics and Transport Systems Koszykowa Street 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

autor

Lewczuk K.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport Department of Logistics and Transport Systems Koszykowa Street 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

autor

Izdebski M.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport Department of Logistics and Transport Systems Koszykowa Street 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

autor

Szczepański E.

• Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Transport Department of Logistics and Transport Systems Koszykowa Street 75, 00-662 Warsaw, Poland tel.:[phone], fax: [phone]

Bibliografia

• [1] Ambroziak, T., Gołębiowski, P., Pyza, D., Jacyna-Gołda, I., Merkisz-Guranowska, A., Identification and analysis of parameters for the areas of the highest harmful exhaust emissions in the model EMITRANSYS, Journal of KONES Powertrain and Transport, Vol. 20, No. 3, Warsaw 2013.
• [2] Ambroziak T., Jachimowski R., Pyza D., Szczepański E., Analysis of the traffic stream distribution in terms of identification of areas with the highest exhaust pollution, Archives of transport, Polish Academy of Sciences, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp. 7-16, Warszawa 2014.
• [3] European Environment Agency, Air quality in Europe – 2012 report, Copenhagen 2012.
• [4] Jacyna-Gołda, I., Gołębiowski, P., Jachimowski, R., Kłodawski, M., Lewczuk, K., Szczepański, E., Sivets, O., Merkisz-Guranowska, A., Pielecha, J., Traffic Distribution into Transport Network for Defined Scenarios of Transport System Development in Aspect of Environmental Protection, Journal of KONES, Vol. 21, No. 4, 2014.
• [5] Jacyna-Gołda, I., Merkisz-Guranowska, A., Żak, J., Some aspects of risk assessment in the logistics chain, Journal of KONES Powertrain and Transport, Institute of Aviation, Aeronautics, BK, Vol. 21, No. 4, Warszawa 2014.
• [6] Jacyna-Gołda, I., Żak, J., Gołębiowski, P., Models of traffic flow distribution for various scenarios of the development of proecological transport system, Archives of transport, Polish Academy of Sciences, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp. 17-28, Warszawa 2014.
• [7] Jacyna, M., Modelowanie i ocean systemów transportowych, Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Warszawskiej, Warszawa 2009.
• [8] Jacyna, M., Wielokryterialna ocena rozłożenia potoku ruchu w aspekcie rozwoju infrastruktury systemu transportowego, Wydawnictwa AGH, Automatyka – półrocznik, T. 3. Krakow 1999. [9] Jacyna, M., Lewczuk, K., Szczepański, E., Gołębiowski, P., Jachimowski, R., Kłodawski, M., Pyza, D., Sivets, O., Wasiak, M., Żak, J., Jacyna-Gołda, I., Effectiveness of national transport system according to costs of emission of pollutants, in: Saferty and Reliability: Methodology and Applications, CRC Balkema, pp. 559-567, 2014.
• [10] Jacyna, M., Wasiak, M., Jacyna-Gołda, I., Pyza, D., Merkisz-Guranowska, A.,Merkisz, J., Lewczuk, K., Żak, J., Pielecha, J., A holistic approach to modelling of the ecological domestic transport system, Materiały konferencyjne XVIII Congreso Panamericano de Ingeniería de Tránsito, Transporte y Logística, PANAM 2014, Santander 2014. [11] Jacyna, M., Wasiak, M., Lewczuk, K., Kłodawski, M., Simulation model of transport system of Poland as a tool for developing sustainable transport, Archives of transport, Polish Academy of Sciences, Vol. 31, No. 3, pp. 23-35, Warszawa 2014.
• [12] Jacyna, M., Żak, J., Jacyna-Gołda, I., Merkisz, J., Merkisz-Guranowska, A., Pielecha, J., Selected Aspects of the Model of Proecological Transport System, Journal of KONES Powertrain and Transport, Vol. 20, No. 3, pp. 193-202, Warszawa 2013.
• [13] Merkisz, J., Bajerlein, M., Dobrzyński, M., Michalak, D., A comparison of the exhaust emission from city buses fuelled with diesel oil and CNG, Urban Transport XIX. Nineteenth International Conference on Urban Transport and the Environment (ed. by C.A. Brebbia), WIT Transactions on the Built Environment, WIT Press, Vol. 1, Southampton 2013.
• [14] Merkisz, J., Pielecha, J., Radzimirski, St., New Trends in Emission Control in the European Union. Springer Tracts on Transportation and Traffic, Is. 4, 2014.
• [15] Pisano, G. P., Knowledge, integration, and the locus of learning: An empirical analysis of process development, Strategic Management Journal, 15 (2), pp. 85-100, 1994.
• [16] Rodrigue, J. P., Comtois, C., Slack, B., Transport Planning and Policy, in: The Geography of Transport Systems, 3rd Edition, Nowy Jork, Routledge 2013.
• [17] Strategia rozwoju transportu do 2020 roku (z perspektywą do 2030 roku), Ministerstwo Transportu, Budownictwa I Gospodarki Morskiej, Warszawa 2013.
• [18] Tietenberg, T., Environmental and Natural Resource Economics, Pearson Education; International, 2003.
• [19] Wasiak, M., Kłodawski, M., Lewczuk, K., Jachimowski, R., Szczepański, E., Chosen aspects of simulation model to designing proecological transport system, Journal of KONES Powertrain and Transport, Vol. 21, No. 4, pp. 525-532, 2014.
• [20] Worthington, W. J., Collins, J. D., Hitt, M. A., Beyond risk mitigation: Enhancing corporate innovation with scenario planning, Business Horizons, Vol. 52, pp. 444, 2009.

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę.