Applying the repertory grid method for technology forecasting: civil unmanned aviation systems for Germany

• Autorzy: Eimecke J. , Baumert K. , Baier D.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/mper-2017-0025

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Multistage expert surveys like the Delphi method are proven concepts for technology forecasting that enable the prediction of content-related and temporal development in fields of innovation (e.g., [1, 2]). Advantages of these qualitative multistage methods are a simple and easy to understand concept while still delivering valid results [3]. Nevertheless, the literature also points out certain disadvantages especially in large-scale technology forecasts in particularly abstract fields of innovation [4]. The proposed approach highlights the usefulness of the repertory grid method as an alternative for technology forecasting and as a first step for preference measurement. The basic approach from Baier and Kohler [5] is modified in-so-far that an online survey reduces the cognitive burden for the experts and simplifies the data collection process. Advantages over alternative approaches through its simple structure and through combining qualitative and quantitative methods are shown and an adaption on an actual field of innovation – civil drones in Germany – is done. The measurement of a common terminology for all experts minimizes misunderstandings during the interview and the achievement of an inter-individual comparable level of abstraction is forced by the laddering technique [6] during the interview.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

civil drones; innovative product development; multistage expert surveys; quality requirements; qualitative research; quantitative research; repertory grid method; technology forecasting

• Wydawca: Production Engineering Committee of the Polish Academy of Sciences ; Polish Association for Production Management
• Czasopismo: Management and Production Engineering Review
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: Vol. 8, No. 3
• Strony: 22--30
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 24 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Eimecke J.

• University of Bayreuth, Chair of Innovation and Dialogue Marketing, Universitätsstraße 30, 95447 Bayreuth, Germany

autor

Baumert K.

• Brandenburg University of Technology Cottbus-Senftenberg, Chair of Planning and Innovation Management, Germany

autor

Baier D.

• University of Bayreuth, Chair of Innovation and Dialogue Marketing, Germany

Bibliografia

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