Regional modelling with flood-duration-frequency approach in the middle Cheliff watershed

• Autorzy: Renima M. , Remaoun M. , Boucefiane A. , Sadeuk Ben Abbes A.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.2478/jwld-2018-0013

Warianty tytułu

PL

Modelowanie regionalne z wykorzystaniem metody powódź–czas trwania–częstotliwość w zlewni środkowej rzeki Cheliff

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This study describes a statistical approach of watercourses hydrological regimes in flood, taking into account the latter duration d and return period T. The choice of Middle Cheliff watershed as study area is linked to disasters strong return period in the western region of Algeria. The Midlle Cheliff catchment basin, located in northwest Algeria, has particularly experienced severe floods over the last years. In view of the recurrence of these unusual events, the estimation and the predetermination of floods extreme quantiles are a strategic axis for prevention against floods in this region. The a curves are first of all locally determined, directly from a statistical analysis of flow continuously exceeded during a duration d (QCXd) on different durations from available data of the study region. Then, these curves are compared to those obtained by application of different regional models VFS (Vandenesse, Florac and Soyans) in which two indices of the watershed characteristic flood are taken into account, a descriptive duration of the flood dynamics (D) and the instantaneous maximal annual flow of 10 year return period (QIXA10). The final choice of the model is based on verification of certain criteria, such as: Nash and the root mean squared error (RMSE). The closest regional models to the local ones are Florac’s for low duration and return periods, and Vandenesse’s for large return periods, for different durations. These results could be used to build regional Q-d-F curves on ungauged or partially gauged Algerian basins.

PL

W pracy opisano statystyczne podejście do reżimu hydrologicznego cieków w trakcie powodzi z uwzględnieniem czasu trwania d i okresu powtarzalności T. Wybór zlewni środkowej rzeki Cheliff wiąże się z krótkim okresem powtarzalności katastrof w zachodnich regionach Algierii. Zlewnia środkowej rzeki Cheliff usytuowana w północnozachodniej Algierii doświadczała w ciągu ostatnich lat silnych powodzi. Ze względu na powtarzalność tych ekstremalnych zjawisk ich ocena i przewidywanie mają znaczenie strategiczne dla zapobiegania powodziom w tym regionie. Krzywe a są najpierw oznaczane w skali lokalnej bezpośrednio w wyniku analizy statystycznej przepływu o czasie trwania d(QCXd) w warunkach różnego czasu trwania z wykorzystaniem dostępnych danych z regionu. Następnie krzywe te są porównywane z krzywymi uzyskanymi z zastosowania różnych modeli regionalnych VFS (Vandenesse, Florac i Soyans), w których bierze się pod uwagę dwa wskaźniki: opisowy przebieg dynamiki powodzi (D) i chwilowy maksymalny roczny przepływ o okresie powtarzalności 10 lat (QIXA10). Ostateczny wybór modelu opiera się na weryfikacji pewnych kryteriów, takich jak Nash i pierwiastek ze średniego błędu kwadratowego (RMSE). Modele regionalne najbliższe lokalnym to Florac dla krótkiego czasu trwania i okresu powtarzalności oraz Vandenesse dla długich okresów powtarzalności w warunkach różnego czasu trwania. Wyniki badań mogą być zastosowane do zbudowania regionalnych krzywych Q-d-F dla algierskich zlewni bez lub z częściową siecią punktów wodowskazowych.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Algeria; characteristic duration; flood; flood-duration-frequency; Middle Cheliff; watershed

PL

Algieria; czas trwania charakterystyczny; powódź; powódź–czas trwania–częstotliwość; zlewnia środkowa rzeki Chelif

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo ITP
• Czasopismo: Journal of Water and Land Development
• Rocznik: 2018
• Tom: no. 36
• Strony: 129--141
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 50 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Renima M.

• University Hassib Benbouali of Chlef, Laboratory of Chemistry Vegetable-Water-Energy, 02000 Chlef, Algeria

autor

Remaoun M.

• University Hassib Benbouali of Chlef, Laboratory of Chemistry Vegetable-Water-Energy, Hydraulic Department, Algeria

autor

Boucefiane A.

• National Higher Hydraulic School, Water Engineering and Environment Laboratory, Blida, Algeria

autor

Sadeuk Ben Abbes A.

• National Higher Hydraulic School, Water Engineering and Environment Laboratory, Blida, Algeria

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2018).