Comprehensive evaluation of trend analysis of extreme drought events in the Ceyhan River Basin, Turkey

• Autorzy: Esit Musa , Yuce Mehmet Ishak

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.26491/mhwm/154573

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The investigation of extreme meteorological drought events is crucial for disaster preparedness and regional water management. In this study, trends in extreme drought events, namely annual maximum drought severity (AMDS) and annual maximum drought duration (AMDD), were examined for the Ceyhan Basin. The analyses of extreme events were conducted using the standard precipitation index (SPI) index for multiple-time scales of 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months for 23 meteorological stations located in the Ceyhan Basin, Turkey. The Wallis-Moore and Wald-Wolfowitz methods were employed to determine the homogeneity of the data sets, whereas trend analyses were conducted using Mann-Kendall and Spearman Rho tests. The magnitude of trends was defined by Sen’s slope and linear regression, and change points were detected using the standard normal homogeneity test, Buishand’s range test, and Pettitt’s test. Although increasing trends were detected in most of the stations, only in nine of them, statistically significant results were noted at a significance level of 95%. The results of this paper provide valuable information to water resource management decision-makers in the Ceyhan River Basin for evaluating the effect of droughts and preparing for drought mitigation measures to avoid future drought risks.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate change; drought severity; drought duration; trend; Ceyhan Basin

• Wydawca: Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy
• Czasopismo: Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: Vol. 11, Iss. 1
• Strony: 22--43
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 54 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Esit Musa

• Adiyaman University, Turkey

autor

Yuce Mehmet Ishak

• Gaziantep University, Turkey

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6267-9528

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).