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Method of Prediction of the Stream Flows in Poorly Gauged and Ungauged Basins

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The underlying principles and content of new technology for automated hydrological predictions of poorly gauged and ungauged basins were reviewed herein. Basin classification principles depending on the availability and spatial-temporal discreteness of the observations of meteorological and hydrological variables were proposed. The prediction procedure for large river systems insufficiently covered by hydrometeorological survey was outlined. The prediction methodology for Sông Sê San river basin, which is the left tributary of Mekong river, was tested. The possible options for preliminary calibration and validation of MLCM3 predictive model (Multi-Layer Conceptual Model, 3rd generation), developed within the framework of set task, were described. The software, implementing the streamflow prediction method for ungauged and poorly gauged special basins of large rivers tributaries, was tested.
Rocznik
Strony
180--187
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 37 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
  • State Hydrological Institute, 23, 2 Line, Vassilievsky Ostrov, St. Petersburg, 199053, Russia
  • Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Malookhtinskiy 98, St. Petersburg 195196, Russia
  • Saint-Petersburg Mining University, 2, 21 Line, Vassilievsky Ostrov, St. Petersburg, 199026, Russia
  • Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Malookhtinskiy 98, St. Petersburg 195196, Russia
  • Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Malookhtinskiy 98, St. Petersburg 195196, Russia
  • Russian State Hydrometeorological University, Malookhtinskiy 98, St. Petersburg 195196, Russia
  • VNU University of Science, Vietnam National University (VNU), 334 Nguyen Trai, Thanh Xuan, Hanoi, Vietnam
autor
  • VNU University of Science, Vietnam National University (VNU), 334 Nguyen Trai, Thanh Xuan, Hanoi, Vietnam
Bibliografia
  • 1. Arsenault R. and Brissette F. 2016. Multi-model averaging for continuous streamflow prediction in ungauged basins. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61(13), 2443-2454.
  • 2. Annual Mekong Flood Report 2012. Mekong River Commission, 1, 84.
  • 3. Ayzel G. 2018. Lumped hydrological models is an Occam’ razor for runoff modeling in large Russian Arctic basins. http://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1164118
  • 4. Besaw L., Rizzo D.M., Bierman P.R., Hackett W.R. 2010. Advances in ungauged streamflow prediction using artificial neural networks. Journal of Hydrology, 386(1), 27-37.
  • 5. Bandaragoda C. 2008. Distributed Hydrologic Modeling For Streamflow Prediction At Ungauged Basins. All Graduate Theses and Dissertations. 62. https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/etd/62
  • 6. Burnash R.J.C., Ferral R.L. and McGuire R.A. 1973. A generalized streamflow simulation system – Conceptual modeling for digital computers. Technical Report, Joint Federal and State River Forecast Center, U.S. National Weather Service and California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento. 204.
  • 7. Guiding considerations on transboundary monitoring for l mb hydropower planning and management, 2014. Mekong River Commission, 1, 107.
  • 8. Goswami M., O’Connor K.M., Bhattarai K.P. 2007. Development of regionalisation procedures using a multi-model approach for flow simulation in an ungauged catchment. Journal of Hydrology, 333(2), 517-531.
  • 9. Doganovsky A.M. 2012.Hydrology of land (general course). St. Petersburg: RSHU, 524.
  • 10. Duan Q., Schaake J., Andreassian V., et al. 2006. Model Parameter Estimation Experiment (MOPEX): An overview of science strategy and major results from the second and third workshops. Journal of Hydrology, 320(1), 3-17.
  • 11. Essou G., Florent-Sabarly RC., Lucas-Picher P., Brissette F., Poulin A. 2016. Can precipitation and temperature from meteorological reanalyses be used for hydrologicalmodeling? Journal of Hydrometeorology, 17, 1929–1950
  • 12. High Resolution Limited Area Model [Electronic resource], http://hirlam.org/
  • 13. Hrachowitz M., Savenije H.H.G., Blöschl G., et al. 2013. A decade of Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB) – a review. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 58(6), 1198-1255.
  • 14. Johansson B. 1997. Development and test of the distributed HBV-96 hydrological model; Journal of Hydrology, 201(1–4), 272–288
  • 15. Kuzmin V.A. 2009. Basic principles of automatic calibration of multi-parameter models used in operational systems of flash flood forecasting. Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 34(6), 384-391
  • 16. Manual for Training Trainers in Integrated Water Resources Management in the Mekong Basin. 2014. Mekong River Commission, 1, 117.
  • 17. Merz R. and Blöschl G. 2004. Regionalisation of catchment model parameters. Journal of Hydrology, 287(1), 95-123.
  • 18. Nasonova O., Gusev M., Kovalev Y. 2011. Impact of uncertainties in meteorological forcing data and land surface parameters on global estimates of terrestrial water balance components. Hydrological Processes, 25(7), 1074-1090.
  • 19. Oudin L., Andréassian V., Perrin C., Michel C., Le Moine N. 2008. Spatial proximity, physical similarity, regression and ungaged catchments: A comparison of regionalization approaches based on 913 French catchments. Water Resources Research, 44(3).
  • 20. Paniconi C. and Putti M. 2015. Physically based modeling in catchment hydrology at 50: Survey and outlook. Water Resources Research, 51(9), 7090-7129.
  • 21. Parajka J., Viglione A., Rogger M., et al. 2013. Comparative assessment of predictions in ungauged basins – Part 1: Runoff-hydrograph studies. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 17(5), 1783-1795.
  • 22. Pivovarova I.I. 2016. Optimization methods for hydroecological monitoring systems. Journal of Ecological Engineering, 17(4), 30–34
  • 23. Pivovaova I.I. ,Kuzmin V.A. 2017. Role of Hydrological Monitoring in the Description of the Runoff Formation Processes. Journal of Engineering and Applied Sciences, 17(12), 4495-4499.
  • 24. Razavi T. and Coulibaly P. 2013. Streamflow prediction in ungauged basins: review of regionalization methods. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 18(8), 958-975.
  • 25. Reed S., Koren V., Smith M., Zhang Z.. Moreda F. 2004. Overall distributed model intercomparison project results, J. Hydrol., 298(1–4), 27–60.
  • 26. Sivapalan M., Takeuchi K., Franks S., et al. 2003. IAHS Decade on Predictions in Ungauged Basins (PUB), 2003–2012: Shaping an exciting future for the hydrological sciences. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 48(6), 857-880.
  • 27. Semenova O., Lebedeva L., Volkova N. et al. 2015. Detecting immediate wildfire impact on runoff in a poorly-gauged mountainous permafrost basin. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 60 (7-8), 1225-1241.
  • 28. Smith M., Koren V., Zhang Z., et al. 2013. The distributed model intercomparison project – Phase 2: Experiment design and summary results of the western basin experiments. Journal of Hydrology, 507, 300-329.
  • 29. Strömqvist J., Arheimer B., Dahné J., Donnelly C., Lindström G. 2012. Water and nutrient predictions in ungauged basins: set-up and evaluation of a model at thenational scale. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 57(2), 229-247.
  • 30. Sokolova D.V., Kuzmin V.A. 2017. Use of MLCM3 software for flash flood forecasting.,Conference paper: European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2017, Vienna, Austri http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2017/EGU2017-9498. pdf (Accessed: 28 April, 2017).
  • 31. Sokolova D., Kuzmin V., Batyrov A., Pivovarova I., Ngoc Anh Tran, Dinh Kha Dang, Shemanaev K. 2018. Use of MLCM3 Software for Flash Flood Modeling and Forecasting. Journal of Ecological Engineering, 19(1), 177–185.
  • 32. The website of the HEC-RAS model of the American Corps of Military Engineers. United States Corps of Engineers. Davis, CA. (http://www.hec.usace.army.mil/software/hec-ras/hecras-demo.html).
  • 33. Yang Ming-Der, Boris PT Chen, Chang-Shian Chen. 2008. Using artificial neural network for outflow estimation in an ungauged area. 2008 IEEE International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence). IEEE, June 1, 3551-3555.
  • 34. Winsemius H., Schaefli B., Montanari A., Savenije H. 2009. On the calibration of hydrological models in ungauged basins: A framework for integrating hard and soft hydrological information. Water Resources Research, 45(12), 1-15.
  • 35. Weather Research and Forecasting Model [Electronic resource], www.wrf-model.org.
  • 36. Website of the National Flood Insurance Program (USA) https://www.fema.gov/hydrologic-models-meeting-minimum-requirement-national-flood-insurance-program.
  • 37. World Meteorological Organization. Guide to Hydrological Practices. 1994. WMO-No. 168. Fifth edition. 1994. Geneva, Switzerland.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-51a78ec3-86b0-4ac6-ba0a-e3d09062e505
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