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The Northern Sea Route (NSR) is a seasonal route. Its use by merchant ships that are not structurally adapted to navigation in heavy ice makes sense when it is free of ice along its entire length and can be used without the costly assistance of icebreakers. In the paper, ice cover maps were analyzed. The number of the Julian day of the year was determined on the first day on which the transit shipping season began, on the last day of the year after which this season ended, and the length of the ice-free period along the whole NSR was calculated. The analysis was carried out for the eastern and western parts of the NSR. Despite the high inter-year variability of the opening and closing times of the transit shipping season, it is possible, 2-3 months in advance, to obtain approximate information about the conditions of "ice-free" navigation on this route. For this purpose, average monthly sea ice extent of the Kara Sea in May of a given year should be used.
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
487--492
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 24 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Association of Polish Climatologists, Poland
autor
- Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland
autor
- Association of Polish Climatologists, Poland
Bibliografia
- [1] AARI, wdc.aari.ru/datasets/ssmi, accessed 20.09.2023.
- [2] Bremen University/1, https://data.seaice.uni-bremen.de/amsre/asi_daygrid_swath/n3125, accessed 20.09.2023.
- [3] Bremen University/2, https://data.seaice.uni-bremen.de/amsr2/asi_daygrid_swath/n3125, accessed 20.09.2023.
- [4] Brigham L.W., Arctic Shipping Routes: Russia’s Challenges and Uncertainties, The Barents Observer, 12.08.2022, https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/opinions/2022/08/arctic-shipping-routes-russias-challenges-and-uncertainties, accessed 05.09.2023.
- [5] Cao Y., Liang S., Sun L., Liu J., Cheng X., Wang D., Chen Y., Yu M., Feng K., 2022. Trans-Arctic shipping routes expanding faster than the model projections, Elsevier, Global Environmental Change 73 ,102488:27.
- [6] CHNL Information Office, https://arctic-lio.com/transit-voyages-on-the-nsr-in-2021-the-results-as-of-the-current-date, accessed 16.06.2023.
- [7] Globe-Net, 2015. The True North, Strong and Ice-Free – A GLOBE-Net Special Report, https://globe-net.com/the-true-north-strong-and-ice-free-a-globe-net-special-report/, accessed 26.09.2023.
- [8] Gascard J.C., Zhang J., Rafizadeh M., 2019. The Cryosphere, EGU, The Cryosphere Discussions, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2019-2:29.
- [9] Gunnarsson B., Moe A., 2021. Ten Years of International Shipping on the Northern Sea Route: Trends and Challenges, Arctic Review on Law and Politics, Vol. 12, 2021:4–30.
- [10] IHO, 1953. Limits of oceans and seas, Publication S-23, International Hydrographic Office, 1953:40.
- [11] IHO, 2002. Limits of oceans and seas, Publication S-23, Draft Fourth Edition, 2002, International Hydrographic Office:235.
- [12] Khanna M., 2020. Arctic Ice Will Completely Melt Into Ocean In 15 Years, Claims Study, IndiaTimes, Science and Future, https://www.indiatimes.com/technology/science-and-future/arctic-ice-melt-global-warming-sea-level-rise-520510.html.
- [13] Khon V.C., Mokhov I.I., Semenov V.A., 2017. Transit navigation through Northern Sea Route from satellite data and CMIP5 simulations, Environmental Research Letters 12 (2017) 024010, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa5841.
- [14] Li X., Lynch A.H., 2023. New insights into projected Arctic sea road: operational risks, economic values, and policy implications, Climatic Change, 2023; 176(4):30.
- [15] Marchenko N., 2012. Russian Arctic Seas. Navigational conditions and accidents. Springer Science & Buisness Media, 2012:1- 274.
- [16] Marsz A.A., Pastusiak T., Styszyńska A., 2014. Zmiany powierzchni lodów morskich na morzach eurazjatyckiej Arktyki i ich potencjalny wpływ na nawigację na Północnej Drodze Morskiej w drugiej dekadzie XXI wieku. Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej, 24:65-91.
- [17] Melia N., Haines K.,Hawkins Ed., 2016. Sea ice decline and 21st century trans‐Arctic shipping routes. Geophysical Research Letters. 43. 10.1002/2016GL069315.
- [18] NOAA, ftp://ftp.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/data/nccf/com/gfs/prod, accessed 20.09.2023.
- [19] NSRA, http://www.nsra.ru, accessed 20.09.2023.
- [20] Pastusiak T., 2018. Planning independent transit voyages of vessel without ice strengthening through the Northern Sea Route (in Polish: Planowanie samodzielnych podróży tranzytowych statku bez wzmocnień lodowych przez Północną Drogę Morską), Akademia Morska w Gdyni, 2018, ISBN: 978-83-7421-286-1:278.
- [21] Pastusiak T., 2020. Voyages on the Northern Sea Route, Springer Nature Switzerland, 2020, ISBN 978-3-030-25490-2, DOI10.1007/978-3-030-25490-2:279.
- [22] Rosatom, https://www.nsr.rosatom.ru, accessed 20.09.2023.
- [23] Shetty K, 2023, The Northern Sea route: A gamechanger or a road to hegemony? Observer Research Foundation, https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-northern-sea-route/, accessed 08.09.2023.
- [24] US NIC, https://usicecenter.gov/Products, accessed 20.09.2023.
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Bibliografia
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