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Coastal Area Prone to Extreme Flood and Erosion Events Induced by Climate Changes: Study Case of Juqueriquere River Bar Navigation, Caraguatatuba (Sao Paulo State), Brazil

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EN
Abstrakty
EN
According to the IPCC, the forecast for the year 2100 is an increasing of global average temperature, whose impacts in winds, waves, tides, currents and bathymetry will produce real risks of extreme events due to climate changes. Juqueriquere River is Sao Paulo State (Brazil) North Coastline major waterway. Due to minimum channel depths in the coastal bar, navigation is only possible for small leisure crafts and fishing boats and some cargo barges during higher tidal levels. This study case has been evaluated according to the relative sea level and wave climate scenarios forecasting, based on the meteorological recognition patterns of the last decades data for tides and waves. The impact of climate changes is obtained from this knowledge. The main goal of this paper is to have the initial conceptual description about the impacts on the bar navigation conditions of Juqueriquere to obtain guidelines for master nautical plans.
Twórcy
autor
  • Escola Politécnica da USP, Sao Paulo, Brazil;Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, S.J.Campos, Brazil
autor
  • Escola Politécnica da USP, Sao Paulo, Brazil; Instituto Mauá de Tecnologia, Sao Caetano do Sul, Brazil
autor
  • Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy
autor
  • Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy
Bibliografia
  • [1] Arasaki, E. 2010. Capacidade de adaptação às mudanças climáticas globais: uma abordagem institucional para a gestão de recursos hídricos. São José dos Campos: Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica Pos Doc Thesis.
  • [2] Bruun, P. 1978. Stability of tidal inlets: theory and engineering. Amsterdam: Elsevier Scientific Publishing Company.
  • [3] Cristofori, E., Pezzoli, A., Rosso, M. 2004. Analisi dell'interazione vento-corrente di marea in zona costiera: applicazione al Golfo di Hauraki-Auckland (Nuova Zelanda). 29° Congresso Nazionale di Idraulica e Costruzioni Idrauliche: vol. 3, 745-751.
  • [4] Kron, W. 2008. Coasts – The riskiest places on Earth. 31st International Conference on Coastal Engineering, Hamburg. American Society of Civil Engineers.
  • [5] Marquez, A.L. & Alfredini, P. 2010. Reconstructing significant wave height and peak period time series for a coast location: Vitoria/ ES Bay study case. 1st Conference of Computational Interdisciplinary Sciences, São José dos Campos, 23-27 August 2010. Pan-American Association of Computational Interdisciplinary Sciences.
  • [6] Pezzoli, A., Resch, F. & Tedeschi, G. 2004a. Effetti della stratificazione atmosferica sull’interazione vento-onde in zona costiera. Memoria Academia. Scienze Torino 28: 43-67.
  • [7] Pezzoli, A., Tedeschi, G. & Resch, F. 2004b. Numerical simulations of strong wind situations near the Mediteranean French Coast: comparison with FETCH data. Journal of Applied Meteorology 43-7: 997-1015.
  • [8] Pezzoli, A. & Cristofori, E. 2005. Now-casting of strong Etesian wind in the Saroniko Gulf. World Water Research Program Symposium on “Nowcasting and Very Short Range Forecasting”: 173-181.
  • [9] PIANC - Permanent International Association of Navigation Congresses, IMPA – International Maritime Pilots Association, IALA - International Association of Lighthouse Authorities 1997. Approach channels - A guide for design. Tokyo: Joint PIANC Working Group II-30 in cooperation with IMPA and IALA.
  • [10] Venturini, N. 2007. Influência da quantidade e qualidade da matéria organiza sedimentar na estrutura e distribuição vertical e horizontal das comunidade bentônicas na plataforma de São Sebastião, São Paulo, Brasil. São Paulo: Instituto Oceanográfico of USP MScThesis
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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