Predicting index to complete schedule performance indicator in highway projects using artificial neural network model

• Autorzy: Jasim Nidal A. , Maruf Shelan M. , Aljumaily Hadi S. M. , Al-Zwainy Faiq M. S.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/ace.2020.134412

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Inaccurate estimation in highway projects represents a major problem facing planners and estimators, especially when data and information about the projects are not available, and therefore the need to use modern technologies that addresses the problem of inaccuracy of estimation arises. The current methods and techniques used to estimate earned value indexes in Iraq are weak and inefficient. In addition, there is a need to adopt new and advanced technologies to estimate earned value indexes that are fast, accurate and flexible to use. The main objective of this research is to use an advanced method known as artificial neural networks to estimate the TSPI of highway buildings. The application of artificial neural networks as a new digital technology in the construction industrial in Republic of Iraq is absolutely necessary to ensure successful project management. One model built to predict the TCSPI of highway projects. In this current study, artificial neural network model were used to model the process of estimating earned value indexes, and several cases related to the construction of artificial neural networks have been studied, including network architecture and internal factors and the extent of their impact on the performance of artificial neural network models. Easy equation was developed to calculate that TSPI. It was found that these networks have the ability to predict the TSPI of highway projects with a very outstanding saucepan of reliability (97.00%), and the accounting coefficients (R) (95.43%).

Słowa kluczowe

EN

highway project; artificial neural network; complete performance indicator; schedule; GMDH; shell software; budget to completion; earned value; planning value

PL

projekt autostrady; sztuczna sieć neuronowa; wskaźnik wykonania; harmonogram; GMDH; oprogramowanie powłoki; budżet końcowy; wartość wypracowana; wartość planowania

• Wydawca: Komitet Inżynierii Lądowej i Wodnej PAN ; Politechnika Warszawska, Wydział Inżynierii Lądowej
• Czasopismo: Archives of Civil Engineering
• Rocznik: 2020
• Tom: Vol. 66, nr 3
• Strony: 541--554
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 16 poz., il., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Jasim Nidal A.

• University of Diyala, College of Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Iraq

autor

Maruf Shelan M.

• Erbil Polytechnic University, Erbil Technology Institute, Department of Road Construction, Erbil- Iraq

autor

Aljumaily Hadi S. M.

• University of Mustansiriyah, College of Engineering, Department of Environmental Engineering, Iraq

autor

Al-Zwainy Faiq M. S.

• Al-Nahrain University, College of Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Iraq

Bibliografia

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