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A comparative analysis of injuries and deaths caused by road traffic accidents in Poland and selected EU countries

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EN
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EN
The article examines the relationship between three dependent variables: the quantity of accidents on roads in Poland and the quantities of those hurt and killed as a result. Data were obtained from police websites between 2016 and 2021. Multidimensional comparative analyses were used for the research, which, by grouping data and compiling them dynamically in various scales depending on the needs, allowed us to observe trends such as seasonality on a monthly basis (data in a month - Fig. 2) and a downward trend (data in years Fig. 3). This became a premise for building a multiple regression model, which allowed us to dynamically observe the correlation between the quantity of accidents in Poland and the quantity of people hurt and killed as a result. The above-mentioned regularity was described by the function: Y = ‒67,9212 + 1,3341*v(2) + 0,7332*v(3) + +28,4305*v(4) and the built model was analyzed and evaluated. Then, information on the quantity of road accidents and quantities of people killed and hurt in the capital city of Warsaw from January 2021 to December 2022 were used for the research and compared with the data observed throughout Poland. To observe the impact of the random factor, which was a strong increase in the scale of fines in 2022, especially for exceeding the limit of speed by approximately more than 31 km/h. Dynamic indices on a constant base were calculated for the research. It was found that in 2022, compared to 2021, there was a visible decline in the quantity of people killed in road accidents in Warsaw from 42 to 30 people. A similar regularity can be observed in the data on fatalities in road accidents throughout Poland in the identical time period [11]. Moreover, there was no correlation between the time series of fatalities in road accidents in Warsaw and the quantity of accidents and injuries in 2022.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
57--67
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 25 poz.
Twórcy
  • Military University of Technology, Gen. S. Kaliskiego st. 2, Warsaw, Poland
  • Military University of Technology, Gen. S. Kaliskiego st. 2, Warsaw, Poland
Bibliografia
  • 1. Auguff, P. Ofiary śmiertelnych wypadków drogowych w 2022 roku. Policja podała nowe dane. 2023. Available at: https://auto.dziennik.pl/aktualnosci/artykuly/8623905,policja-wypadki-drogowe- statystyka-2022-rok-kraj.html. [In Polish: Road fatalities in 2022. Police have released new figures].
  • 2. Brdulak, H. & Brdulak, A. Challenges and threats faced in 2020 by international logistics companies operating on the Polish market. Sustainability 2021. Vol. 13. No. 1. P. 359. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13010359.
  • 3. CUK Ubezpieczenia. Taryfikator mandatów 2021 - ile kosztują przewinienia na drodze? Available at: https://cuk.pl/porady/taryfikator-mandatow-2021-ile-kosztuja-przewinienia-na-drodze. [In Polish: CUK Insurance. Tariff offines 2021 - how much do offenses on the road cost?].
  • 4. Ranking EU Progress on Road Safety - 16th Road Safety Performance Index Report. Eurostat. June 2022. Available at: https://etsc.eu/wp-content/uploads/16-PIN-annual-report_FINAL_WEB_ 1506_2.pdf.
  • 5. Habib, M.A. & Bao, Y. & Nabi, N. & Dulal, M. & Asha, A.A. & Islam, M. Impact of strategic orientations on the implementation of green supply chain management practices and sustainable firm performance. Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 340. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13010340.
  • 6. Kowal, J. Wypadki komunikacyjne w Polsce - kiedy i gdzie najczęściej do nich dochodzi? Available at: https://mubi.pl/poradniki/wypadki-komunikacyjne-w-polsce/. [In Polish: Traffic accidents in Poland - when and where do they most often occur?].
  • 7. Kozicki, B. A New method for planning needs in terms of security. In: 35th International Business Information Management Conference (IBIMA). 1-2 April 2020. Seville, Spain. 2020. P. 16819¬16829. ISBN: 978-0-9998551-4-0.
  • 8. Kozicki, B. & Tomaszewski, J. & Woźniak, J. Forecasting residents killed in road accidents in Europe between 2018-2020. In: P. Cyplik, & G. Bartoszewicz, & W. Machowiak, & Ł. Brzeziński (eds.) Contemporary Challenges in Supply Chains. Vol. 2. Radom: Instytut Naukowo-Wydawniczy „Spatium” sp. z o.o. 2020.
  • 9. Kwasiborska, A. (ed.). Bezpieczeństwo transportu lotniczego. Wybrane aspekty. Pułtusk: Oficyna Wydawnicza ASPRA-JR. 2016. [In Polish: Security of air transport. Selected aspects].
  • 10. Malkowska, A. & Malkowski, A. International trade in transport services between Poland and the European Union. Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 424. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ su13010424.
  • 11. Michalak, M. Wypadki drogowe. Policja podsumowuje 2022 rok. Ilu zabitych i rannych? Available at: https://motofakty.pl/wypadki-drogowe-policja-podsumowuje-2022-rok-ilu-zabitych-i-rannych/ ar/ c4-17169071. [In Polish: Traffic accidents. Police sums up 2022. How many killed and injured?].
  • 12. Ministerstwo Infrastruktury. Przepis na... bezpieczeństwo w ruchu drogowym. Available at: https://www.gov.pl/web/infrastruktura/przepis-na-bezpieczenstwo-w-ruchu-drogowym. [In Polish: Ministry of Infrastructure. Recipefor... road safety].
  • 13. Petrosanu D.-M. & Pîijan, A. Electricity consumption forecasting based on a bidirectional long- short-term memory artificial neural network. Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 104. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13010104.
  • 14. Plaza-Ubeda, J.A. & Abad-Segura, E. & de Burgos-Jiménez, J. & Boteva-Asenova, A. & Belmonte- Urena, L.J. Trends and new challenges in the green supply chain: the reverse logistics. Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 331. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13010331.
  • 15. Wypadki drogowe - Raporty Roczne. Available at: https://statystyka.policja.pl/st/ruch- drogowy/76562,wypadki-drogowe-raporty-roczne.html. [In Polish: Road accidents - Annual Reports.].
  • 16. Rykała, Ł. & Typiak, A. & Typiak, R. & Rykała, M. Application of smoothing spline in determining the unmanned ground vehicles route based on ultra-wideband distance measurements. Sensors. 2022. Vol. 22(21). No. 8334. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/s22218334.
  • 17. Rykała, M. & Rykała, Ł. Economic analysis of a transport company in the aspect of car vehicle operation. Sustainability 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 427. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13010427.
  • 18. Sales-Vivó, V. & Gil-Saura, I. & Gallarza, MG. Value co-creation and satisfaction in B2B context: a triadic study in the furniture industry. Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su13010152.
  • 19. Sowa, B. & Kozicki, B. & Mitkow, Sz. & Rajchel, J. & Bździuch, S. Methodology of road transport planning with the use of it software in terms of military security maintenance. Journal of Security and Sustainability Issues. 2022. Vol. 12. No. 1. P. 121-130. DOI: 10.47459/jssi.2022.12.10.
  • 20. Tonnang, H.E.Z. & Sokame, B.M. & Wamalwa, M. & Niassy, S. & Muriithi, B.W. System dynamics modeling for assessing the impact of COVID-19 on food supply chains: A case study of Kenya and Rwanda. Sustainability. 2023. Vol. 15(6). No. 4717. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su15064717.
  • 21. Wydział Ruchu Drogowego. Komenda Stołeczna Policji. Available at: https://ksp.policja.gov.pl/wrd/o-nas/statystyki/2022. [In Polish: Traffic Department. Capital Police Headquarters].
  • 22. Waleński, S. Od 1 stycznia obowiązuje nowy taryfikator mandatów karnych - „piratom” drogowym grożą wyższe kary. Available at: https://milicz.policja.gov.pl/dmi/aktualnosci/bieza/56893,Od-1- stycznia-obowiazuje-nowy-taryfikator-mandatow-karnych-piratom-drogowym-groz.html. [In Polish: As of January 1, a new tariff of criminal fines is in effect - road “pirates” face higher penalties].
  • 23. Zięba, R. (ed.). Bezpieczeństwo międzynarodowe w XXI wieku. Warsaw: Wydawnictwo Poltext. 2018. [In Polish: International security in the 21st].
  • 24. Zou, Y. & Zhang, Y. & Cheng, K. Exploring the impact of climate and extreme weather on fatal traffic accidents. Sustainability. 2021. Vol. 13(1). No. 390. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ su13010390.
  • 25. Żyżyński, J. Statystyka opisowa i matematyczna dla zarządzania. Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego. 2017. [In Polish: Descriptive and mathematical statistics for management. Warsaw: Scientific Publishing House of the Faculty of Management of the University of Warsaw].
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-4306b382-ae92-4080-b65f-acf316110ddf
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