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Model of a minimal risk portfolio under hybrid uncertainty

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The article is devoted to the development and study of a model of a minimal risk portfolio under conditions of hybrid uncertainty of possibilistic-probabilistic type. In this model, the interaction of fuzzy parameters is described by both the strongest and the weakest triangular norms. The formula for variance of a portfolio is given that allows for estimating its risk. Models of acceptable portfolios are based on the principle of expected possibility or on the basis of fulfilling the restriction on the possibility/necessity and probability of the level of portfolio return that is acceptable to an investor. Equivalent deterministic analogues of the models are constructed and their solution methods are developed. Theorems describing a set of investment opportunities are proven. The obtained results are demonstrated on a model example.
Rocznik
Strony
315--333
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 20 poz.
Twórcy
  • Tver State University, Zhelyabova 33, Tver, Russia
  • Tver State University, Zhelyabova 33, Tver, Russia
Bibliografia
  • Egorova, Y. E. and Yazenin, A. V. (2017) The problem of possibilisticprobabilistic optimization. Journal of Computer and Systems Sciences International, 56, 4, 652-667. https://doi.org/10.1134/S1064230717040086
  • Egorova, Yu. E. and Yazenin, A. V. (2018) A method for minimum risk portfolio optimization under hybrid uncertainty. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 973, 012033. http://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/973/1/012033
  • Ermolyev, Yu. M. (1976) Stochastic programming methods. Fizmatlit Nauka Publ., Moscow.
  • Dubois, D. and Prade, H. (1988) Théorie des possibilités: application à la représentation des connaissances en informatique. Masson, Paris.
  • Feng, Y., Hu, L. and Shu, H. (2001) The variance and covariance of fuzzy random variables and their applications. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 120, 3, 487–497. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(99)00060-3
  • Gordeev, R.N. and Yazenin, A.V. (2006) A method for solving a problem of possibilistic programming. Journal of Computer and Systems Sciences International, 45, 3, 442–449. http://doi.org/10.1134/S1064230706030105
  • Hong, D.H. (2001) Parameter estimations of mutually T-related fuzzy variables. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 123, 1, 63–71. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(00)00113-5
  • Markowitz, H.M. (1952) Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance, 7, 1, 77–91. http://doi.org/10.2307/2975974
  • Mesiar, R. (1997) Triangular-norm-based addition of fuzzy intervals. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 91, 2, 231–237. http://doi.org/10.1016/S0165-0114(97)00143-7
  • Nahmias, S. (1979) Fuzzy variables in a random environment. In: M.M. Gupta, R.K. Ragade, R.R. Yager, eds., Advances in Fuzzy Sets Theory and Applications, NHCP, Amsterdam, 165–180.
  • Nguyen, H.T. and Walker, E.A. (1997) A First Course in Fuzzy Logic. CRC Press, Boca Raton.
  • Xu, J. and Zhou, X. (2011) Fuzzy-like multiple objective decision making. In: Studies in Fuzziness and Soft Computing, 263. Springer, Berlin. http://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-16895-6
  • Yazenin, A.V. (1991) Linear programming with random fuzzy data. Soviet Journal of Computer and Systems Sciences, 3, (in Russian), 52-58.
  • Yazenin, A. and Wagenknecht, M. (1996) Possibilistic Optimization. Brandenburgische Technische Universität, Cottbus.
  • Yazenin, A.V. (1997) On a method of solving a problem of linear programming with random fuzzy data. Journal of Computer and Systems Sciences International, 36, 5, 91-95.
  • Yazenin, A.V. (2007) Possibilistic-probabilistic models and methods of portfolio optimization. In: I. Batyrshin, J. Kacprzyk, eds., Studies in Computational Intelligence, 36, Springer, Heidelberg, 241–259. http://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-36247-0 9
  • Yazenin, A.V. and Shefova, N.A. (2010) On a possibilistic-probabilistic model of a minimal risk portfolio. Vestnik TvGU. Seriya: Prikladnaya Matematika [Herald of Tver State University. Series: Applied Mathematics], 2 (17), (in Russian), 85-95.
  • Yazenin, A.V. (2016) The basic concepts of the theory of possibility. Fizmatlit Publ., Moscow (in Russian).
  • Yazenin, A. and Soldatenko, I. (2018) A portfolio of minimum risk in a hybrid uncertainty of a possibilistic-probabilistic type: comparative study. In: J. Kacprzyk, E. Szmidt, S. Zadro˙zny, K. Atanassov, M. Krawczak, eds., Advances in Fuzzy Logic and Technology 2017. EUSFLAT 2017, IWIFSGN 2017. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, 643, Springer, Cham, 551-563. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-66827-7 51
  • Yazenin, A. and Soldatenko, I. (2019) On the problem of possibilisticprobabilistic optimization with constraints on possibility/probability. In: S. Giove, F. Masulli, R. Fuller, eds., Lecture Notes in Computer Science,WILF 2018, Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, 11291, Springer, Cham, 43-54.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-42e11ae7-183d-4af3-b369-7b6e22042364
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