Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weathers hazards

• Autorzy: Torbicki M.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate-weather change process; identification; prediction; operating environment threats; piping transportation system

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: Vol. 8, No. 2
• Strony: 121--128
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 8 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Torbicki M.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] EU-CIRCLE Report D3.3-GMU3-CIOP Model2. (2016). Critical Infrastructure Operation Process (CIOP) Including Operating Environment Threats (OET) Model2.
• [2] EU-CIRCLE Report D3.3-GMU3-C-WCP. (2016). Critical Infrastructure Operating Area Climate-Weather Change Process (C-WCP) Including Extreme Weather Hazards (EWH) CWCP Model.
• [3] EU-CIRCLE Report D6.4-GMU1. (2017). Critical Infrastructure Operation Process General Model (CIOPGM) Application to Port Piping Transportation System Operation Process Related to Operating Environment Threats (OET) and Extreme Weather Hazards (EWH).
• [4] Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2017). Integrated impact model on critical infrastructure safety related to its operation process including operating environment threat and climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 4, 49-66.
• [5] Kołowrocki, K., Soszyńska-Budny, J. & Torbicki, M. (2017). Critical infrastructure operation process related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 41-58.
• [6] Kołowrocki, K. & Soszyńska-Budny, J. (2017). Identification methods and procedures of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 59-84.
• [7] Kuligowska, E. & Torbicki, M. Identification and prediction of climate-weather change processes for port oil piping transportation system and maritime ferry operation areas after their realisations successful uniformity testing. 17th ASMDA Conference Proceedings, Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis 2017, London, United Kingdom, 2017.
• [8] Torbicki, M. (2017). Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area, Summer Safety & Reliability Seminars. Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association 8, 2, 107-112.

Uwagi

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017).