Heat waves in Poland in the period 1951-2015: trends, patterns and driving factors

Wibig, J.

doi:10.26491/mhwm/78420

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Heat waves in Poland in the period 1951-2015: trends, patterns and driving factors

Autorzy

Wibig J.

Treść / Zawartość

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DOI

10.26491/mhwm/78420

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Heat waves were analysed on the basis of maximum daily temperature from 24 meteorological stations in Poland. Heat waves are defined as the longest continuous period during which Tmax (daily maximum air temperature) is equal to or higher than 30°C in at least three days, the mean Tmax during the whole heat wave is equal or higher than 30°C and Tmax does not drop below 25°C during the whole period of heat wave duration. Heat waves occur in Poland from April to September with their maximums in July and August. Four-day-long heat waves are most frequent but the longest one lasted 31 days. The most persistent heat waves were in 1994 and 2015. An increasing trend in heat wave frequency and intensity is observed in Poland, however the increase is statistically significant at only about 60% of analysed stations. Four synoptic patterns favouring heat waves have been distinguished. A strong high over the Azores accompanies all of them, as well as slightly higher than normal pressure over Central Europe – this causes calm and sunny weather over Poland. Strong blocking appears over the North Atlantic during heat wave events, proofing that the development of strong heat waves in Poland is related to large scale circulation and that they are not of local origin. The analysis of the impact of soil moisture in months leading up to the development of heat waves should be the next step in analysis.

Słowa kluczowe

heat wave Poland trend intensity blocking index circulation pattern k-mean clustering

fala upałów Polska tendencja intensywność skupienie

Wydawca

Instytut Meteorologii i Gospodarki Wodnej - Państwowy Instytut Badawczy

Czasopismo

Meteorology Hydrology and Water Management. Research and Operational Applications

Rocznik

2018

Tom

Vol. 6, Iss. 1

Strony

37--45

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 42 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Wibig J.

zameteo@uni.lodz.pl

University of Lodz, Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Narutowicza 88, 90-139 Łódź, Poland

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Bibliografia

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