Past and future changes in the start, end, and duration of the growing season in Poland

Szyga-Pluta, Katarzyna; Tomczyk, Arkadiusz Marek; Piniewski, Mikołaj; Eini, Mohammad Reza

doi:10.1007/s11600-023-01117-1

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Past and future changes in the start, end, and duration of the growing season in Poland

Autorzy

Szyga-Pluta Katarzyna , Tomczyk Arkadiusz Marek , Piniewski Mikołaj , Eini Mohammad Reza

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-023-01117-1

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

The aim of the study was to determine the direction and rate of the projected changes of the start, end, and duration of the growing season in Poland in two-time horizons: 2021-2050 and 2071-2100. The main part of the paper was preceded by an analysis of changes in the start and end dates and the duration of the growing season in Poland in the period 1966-2020. The growing season in Poland is projected to be the shortest in mountain areas and in the north-eastern regions of Poland, where the date of growing season start is the latest and the date of the growing season end is the earliest. Whereas the longest growing season due to the projected earliest start and latest end dates is expected in the southwestern Poland. In the case of the coast, its late end will be of the greatest importance for its duration as a result of the warming effect of the sea in the autumn–winter period. The most intensive changes are forecasted in the long-term perspective in the case of the scenario regarding a high level of greenhouse gas emissions. The forecasts show that outside mountain areas, the growing season duration will vary from less than 255 days in the northeastern regions to more than 290 days in southwest and western Poland. In the duration of the mountains, the growing season will vary from 180 days on Kasprowy Wierch to 188 days on Śnieżka. This suggests significant changes in agroclimatic conditions in Poland.

Słowa kluczowe

growing season climate change Poland projections of changes RCP’s scenarios

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2023

Tom

Vol. 71, no. 6

Strony

3041--3055

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 89 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Szyga-Pluta Katarzyna

Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Institute of Physical Geography and Environmental Planning, Adam Mickiewicz University, B. Krygowskiego 10, 61-680, Poznań, Poland

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9718-3920

autor

Tomczyk Arkadiusz Marek

atomczyk@amu.edu.pl

Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Institute of Physical Geography and Environmental Planning, Adam Mickiewicz University, B. Krygowskiego 10, 61-680, Poznań, Poland

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1576-8795

autor

Piniewski Mikołaj

Department of Hydrology, Meteorology and Water Management, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7930-4549

autor

Eini Mohammad Reza

Department of Hydrology, Meteorology and Water Management, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3323-5952

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).

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Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

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