Understanding changes and trends in projected hydroclimatic indices in selected Norwegian and Polish catchments

Meresa, H. K.; Romanowicz, R.; Napiórkowski, J.

doi:10.1007/s11600-017-0062-5

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Understanding changes and trends in projected hydroclimatic indices in selected Norwegian and Polish catchments

Autorzy

Meresa H. K. , Romanowicz R. , Napiórkowski J.

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-017-0062-5

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

The aim of the study is to investigate trends in selected hydroclimatic indices using novel and conventional tools, for future climate projections in the twenty-first century. Selected quasi-natural Norwegian and Polish catchments are used as a case study. The projected flows are provided by GR4J rainfall-runoff conceptual model, coupled with an ensemble of climate model projections from EURO-CORDEX initiative. The trends are analysed using conventional Mann–Kendall and modified Mann–Kendall statistical approaches, a time–frequency approach based on discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and the dynamic harmonic regression (DHR) method. Of all methods applied the DHR gives the most conservative trend estimates. Trends depend on the specific hydroclimatic character and flow regime of the catchment. The results confirmed that in catchments with a rainfall-driven flood regime, an increase in the amount of precipitation is followed by increased flows, with strong seasonal changes, whereas, in catchments with a snow-driven flood regime, despite an increase of mean annual flow, decrease in annual maximum flow is observed. Generally, positive trend is the most dominant in all catchments studied and the methods were consistent in detection of trend except in seasonal trend test.

Słowa kluczowe

hydroclimatic indice trends climate change GR4J Poland Norway

wskaźnik hydroklimatyczny trendy zmiana klimatu GR4J Polska Norwegia

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2017

Tom

Vol. 65, no. 4

Strony

829--848

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 68 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Meresa H. K.

hadush@igf.edu.pl

Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

autor

Romanowicz R.

Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

autor

Napiórkowski J.

Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland

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Bibliografia

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