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Abstrakty
The problem of rational investment and allocation of funds for an agent with individual goals and experiences is presented in this paper. Simon Herbert’s model of decision making, the EPAM model of intuition as a decision tree with the accompanying Soar software which is a modern cognitive architecture for modeling intelligent agents are considered. The state space and selection of decision rules for determining the optimal solution are presented, emphasizing the role of intuition. A decision-making scheme is presented, leading to the acquisition of distinct experiences resulting in an increase in the procedural knowledge stored in the long-term memory. The next stage is to visualize the decision-making process in the working memory in order to satisfactorily allocate funds into three categories. The results obtained indicate the intuitively correct decision according to an assumed quality factor which is the level of overall agent satisfaction. Reference is also made to the possible application of GAN neural networks, showing their potential in supporting intuitive decision making in the stock market. The considerations confirm the validity of an intuitive approach to business solutions and also enable a closer look at multidimensional aspects of intuition. The considerations confirm the validity of the intuitive approach to business solutions, as well as presenting an insight into multidimensional aspects of intuition itself.
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Tom
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1--24
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 25 poz., rys.
Twórcy
autor
- Faculty of Electronics, Telecommunications and InformaticsGdansk University of Technology, Gabriela Narutowicza 11/12, 80–233 Gdańsk, Poland
Bibliografia
- 1. Wasilewski M and Juszczyk M 2016 Znaczenie czynników behawioralnych w podejmowaniu decyzji inwestycyjnych na rynku kapitałowym Zesz Nauk SGGW - Ekon i Organ Gospod Żywnościowej 113 p. 173.
- 2. Szwiec P 2005 O roli intuicji w zarzadzaniu Ekonomika i Organizacja Przedsiębiorstwa. 28
- 3. Simon H A 1995 Explaining the Ineffable: Al on the Topics of Intuition, Insight and Inspiration Proceedings of the Fourteenth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence
- 4. Simon H A 1955 A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice Q J Econ. 69 p. 99 doi: https://doi.org/10.2307/1884852
- 5. Simon H 1986 The information processing explanation of Gestalt phenomena doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/0747-5632(86)90006-3
- 6. Simon H 1987 Making Management Decisions: The Role of Intuition and Emotion The Academy of Management Executive (1987-1989) 1 p. 57.
- 7. Owsiak S 2017 Finanse publiczne. Warszawa: Współczesne ujęcie Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa
- 8. Mischel W, Shoda Y and Rodriguez M I 1989 Delay of gratification in children Science 80 p. 244-933. doi: 10.1126/science.26580569.
- 9. Majewska-Bielecka D 2014 Inwestowanie jako element zarządzania finansami osobistymi. Zesz Nauk Uniw Szczecińskiego Finans Rynk Finans Ubezpieczenia p. 65-453.
- 10. Jędrych E 2013 Inwestowanie w pracowników - wyzwania dla menedżerów Organ i zarządzanie 51 doi: https://doi.org/10.34658/oiz.2013.51.89-98
- 11. Julmi C 2019 When rational decision-making becomes irrational: a critical assessment and re-conceptualization of intuition effectiveness Bus Res. 12 p. 291 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40685-019-0096-4
- 12. Joseph J M and Roy R 2018 A study on the Information seeking and Investment Behaviour of Equity Investors International J Multidiscip Res Rev. 3 (9) p. 370 doi: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1421848
- 13. Jasiniak M 2018 Intuition or Rational Investing? The Stock Investors’ Behaviour and the Nominal Effect on the Example of Polish Capital Market Przedsiębiorczość i Zarządzanie 19 p. 355
- 14. Hildmann H 2018 Designing Behavioural Artificial Intelligence to Record Assess and Evaluate Human Behaviour Multimodal Technol Interact. 2 p. 63 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/mti2040063
- 15. Graham B and Zweig J W B The Intelligent Investor The Definitive Book on Value Investing A Book of Practical Counsel
- 16. Gillman M and Kejak M 2011 Inflation Investment and Growth: a Money and Banking Approach Economica 78 p. 260 doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0335.2009.00814.x
- 17. Gierałtowska U and Putek-Szeląg E 2015 Indirect investing in real estate market Zesz Nauk US Fin Ryn Fin Ubezp p. 159. doi: 10.18276/frfu.2015.75-13
- 18. Barros G 2010 Herbert A. Simon and the concept of rationality: Boundaries and procedures. Brazilian J Polit Econ. 30 p. 455.
- 19. Frantz R 2003 Artificial intelligence as a framework for understanding intuition J Econ Psychol. 24 p. 265 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-4870(02)00207-6
- 20. Forest J, Mehier C and Commons J R 2011 A. H. Simon on the Concept of Rationality J Econ Issues. 35p. 591 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00213624.2001.11506392
- 21. Duch W 1998 Czym jest kognitywistyka? Kognitywistyka i Media w Edukacji 1 p. 9
- 22. Duch W 2009 Architektury kognitywne czyli jak zbudować sztuczny umysł doi: 10.31338/uw.9788323540274 pp. 271-304
- 23. Czerwonka M 2011 Inwestycje odpowiedzialne społecznie (SRI) - inwestowanie alternatywne Finans Czas Kom Nauk o Finans PAN p. 135
- 24. Asefah A, Ali S and Adeleh A. 2011 The Role of Management Information System (MIS) and Decision Support System (DSS) for Manager’s Decision Making Process International. J Bus Manag. 6 doi:10.5539/ijbm.v6n7p164
- 25. Adamska A 2015 Inwestowanie w aktywa emocjonalne Zesz Nauk Uniw Szczecińskiego Finans Rynk Finans Ubezpieczenia. p. 295.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-386b12f8-ea26-40fd-b231-a2110ccae9c4