Spatiotemporal detection of abrupt change in trends of rainfall and dry and wet periods at different time scales: The case of the Medjerda basin in northeast Algeria

Berhail, Sabri; Katipoğlu, Okan Mert

doi:10.1007/s11600-023-01097-2

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Spatiotemporal detection of abrupt change in trends of rainfall and dry and wet periods at different time scales: The case of the Medjerda basin in northeast Algeria

Autorzy

Berhail Sabri , Katipoğlu Okan Mert

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-023-01097-2

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

This study investigates possible rainfall and drought trends using data from 38 rainfall stations in the Medjerda basin (northeast of Algeria) over 54 years (1965–2018). Drought-related data were calculated with the Standardized precipitation index (SPI). The Mann–Kendall test was used to find positive or negative precipitation trends. The magnitude of these trends was calculated using Sen’s slope method. According to the analysis, a decrease during the spring precipitation season was observed. Furthermore, the authors found the maximum increasing (decreasing) precipitation magnitude to be 2.14 mm/season (− 4.41 mm/season) in winter (spring). In addition, the magnitude of the precipitation trend per year ranged from − 6.26 to 2.54 mm/year, with an average reduction of 39% for the entire basin. From the outcomes of drought trend analysis, it can be inferred that for a short-time scale, the innovative trend analysis method exhibited a negative trend for the minimum and maximum SPI values. Drought severity was found to have increased during severe and extreme wet episodes, directly affecting Algeria’s frequently drought-affected agricultural regions, such as the Merdja plain and the irrigated perimeters of Sedrata and Zouabi. Considering the long-time scales, an increase was detected in drought severity and a decline during severe and extreme wet episodes. These findings show that the southeastern and central parts of the Medjerda basin’s long-term water resources have been severely affected, which negatively impacts the newly-constructed Ouldjet Mellegue dam in Tébessa province.

Słowa kluczowe

climate change drought precipitation trend analysis standardized precipitation index SPI Medjerda basin

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2023

Tom

Vol. 71, no. 5

Strony

2497--2516

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 89 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Berhail Sabri

s.berhail@centre-univ-mila.dz

Department of Civil Engineering and Hydraulic, Institute of Sciences and Technology, Abdelhafid Boussouf University Center, Mila, Algeria

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4110-7491

autor

Katipoğlu Okan Mert

Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Erzincan Binali Yıldırım University, Erzincan, Turkey

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

bwmeta1.element.baztech-37ccacbc-d8fe-40f5-b11a-28d85bd701e2