Assessment of the WRF model in reproducing a flash-flood heavy rainfall event over Kosovo

Osmanaj, Lavdim; Spiridonov, Irena; Jakimovski, Boro; Spiridonov, Vlado

doi:10.1007/s11600-024-01365-9

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Assessment of the WRF model in reproducing a flash-flood heavy rainfall event over Kosovo

Autorzy

Osmanaj Lavdim , Spiridonov Irena , Jakimovski Boro , Spiridonov Vlado

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-024-01365-9

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

This research investigates the efficacy of the cloud-resolving Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in reproducing convective cells associated with flash-flooding heavy rainfall near Peja, Northeast Kosovo, on June 24, 2023. Employing two distinct dynamical cores and a unique numerical setup for the Kosovo domain, numerical experiments were conducted. The study employed a triply nested WRF-ARW model with a high resolution of 3 km horizontal grid spacing, integrating conventional analysis data. Additionally, experiments using the WRF-NMM core with 3 km for a larger domain covering Southeast Europe and Kosovo domain were executed to simulate the specific event. The WRF model accurately simulated the initiation of isolated thunderstorms, convective band formation, cloud cluster, and squall line at the opportune time. While precipitation distribution was reasonably replicated, there was a slight underestimation in the amount. Hydrological analysis of precipitation, including river discharge rates provided from ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis, identified a unique storm category with intense precipitation production, registering an intensity of approximately 54.6 mm in 1 h, leading to sudden flash flooding.

Słowa kluczowe

heavy rainfall downburst flash flood WRF model verification hydrology discharge triple nested run wet

ulewne deszcze szkwał powódź błyskawiczna model WRF weryfikacja hydrologia przepływ

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2025

Tom

Vol. 73, no. 1

Strony

917--932

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 53 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Osmanaj Lavdim

Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Prishtina-Hasan Prishtina, Pristina, Kosovo

autor

Spiridonov Irena

Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering FINKI, Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Skopje, North Macedonia

autor

Jakimovski Boro

Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering FINKI, Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Skopje, North Macedonia

autor

Spiridonov Vlado

vlado.spiridonov@pmf.ukim.mk

Institute of Physics-Meteorology, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje, Skopje, North Macedonia

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9731-3940

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025).

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

bwmeta1.element.baztech-358fba67-96b2-4c26-98e8-d4faceb782fb