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Countries like Poland with a recent sharp drop in birth rates still have some time to prepare for the problems of an ageing society. After the year 2030 they can become increasingly serious.
Słowa kluczowe
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
19--23
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 12 poz., wykr.
Twórcy
autor
- On leave from Institute of Theoretical Physics, Cologne University, D-50923 Koln, Germany. Visit supported by COST P10
autor
- Faculty of Physics and Applied Computer Science, AGH University of Science and Technology, Mickiewicza 30, PL-30059 Krakow, Poland
Bibliografia
- 1. Prioux R: L`évolution démographique récente en France: I'espérance de vie progresse toujours, Population-F 63: 437-478, 2008.
- 2. Stauffer D.: Simple tools for forecasts of population ageing in developed countries based on extrapolations of human mortality, fertility and migration, Experimental Gerontology 37: 1131-1136, 2002.
- 3. Sá Martins J. S., Stauffer D.: Should retirement age be coupled to life expectancy? Ingenierias (Univ. Nuevo Leon, Mexico) 7: 35-38, 2004.
- 4. Zekri L, Stauffer D.: Sociophysics simulations III: retirement demography, AIP Conference Proceedings 779: 69-74, 2005.
- 5. Stauffer D., Moss de Oliveira S., de Oliveira P. M. C, Sá Martins J. S.: Biology, Sociology, Geology by Computational Physicists. Elsevier, Amsterdam 2006.
- 6. Sumour M. A., El-Astal A. H., Shabat M. M., Radwan M. A.: Simulation of demographic change in Palestinian territories, Int. J. Mod. Phys. C 18: 1717-1723, 2007.
- 7. Bomsdorf E.: Life expectancy in Germany until 2050, Experimental Gerontology 39: 159-163, 2004.
- 8. Yashin A. I., Begun A. S., Boiko S. I., Ukraintseva S. V., Oeppen J.: The new trends in survival improvement require a revision of traditional gerontological concepts, Experimental Gerontology 37: 157-167, 2001.
- 9. Wilmoth J. R., Deegan L. J., Lundstrom H., Horiuchi S.: Increase of maximum life-span in Sweden 1861-1999, Science 289: 2366-2368, 2000.
- 10. Edwards R. D., Tuljapurkar S.: Inequality in life spans and a new perspective on mortality convergence across industrialized countries, Population and Development Review 31: 645-674,2005.
- 11. Kannisto V., in: Human longevity, individual life duration, and the growth of the oldest-old population, edited by Robine J.-M., Crimmins E. M., Horiuchi S., Zheng Y. Springer, Heidelberg 2006, p. 111.
- 12. Bońkowska K., Szymczak S., Cebrat C: Microscopic modeling the demographic changes, Int. J. Mod. Phys. C 17: 1477-1484, 2006.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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