Analysis of Italian Earthquake catalogs in the context of intermediate-term prediction problem

• Autorzy: Romashkova L. , Peresan A.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

We perform a comparative analysis of regional and global earthquake catalogs currently available for the territory of Italy. We consider: (a) instrumental seismic catalogs provided by the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma (INGV) for earthquake forecasting experiment in Italy within the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP); (b) Global Hypocenters’ Data provided by the USGS/NEIC, which is currently used in the real-time earthquake prediction experiment by CN and M8S algorithms in Italy, and (c) seismological Bulletin provided by the International Seismological Centre (ISC). We discuss advantages and shortcomings of these catalogs in the context of intermediate-term middle-range earthquake prediction problem in Italy, including the possibility of the catalog’s combined or integrated use. Magnitude errors in the catalog can distort statistics of success-to-failure scoring and eventually falsify testing results. Therefore, the analysis of systematic and random errors in magnitude presented in Appendixes can be of significance in its own right.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

earthquake catalogs; intermediate-term earthquake prediction; statistical data analysis

• Wydawca: Instytut Geofizyki PAN ; Springer
• Czasopismo: Acta Geophysica
• Rocznik: 2013
• Tom: Vol. 61, no. 3
• Strony: 583--610
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 27 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Romashkova L.

• Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia

autor

Peresan A.

• The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, SAND Group, Trieste, Italy

Bibliografia

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