PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
Tytuł artykułu

Study of inland waterway transport routing options under conditions of uncertainty in navigational restrictions

Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Given the uncertainty of the navigating conditions on the Danube River, the hydrological situation on the Bulgarian leg of the river is predicted using ARIMA methods. The forecast is based on statistical daily hydrological data for a period of five years. A mathematical routing model is developed under the condition that it is not possible for a self-propelled vessel to continue its voyage due to draft limitation. Options including waiting for navigation opening, partial lightening on a barge, and a complete or partial modal shift to rail or road transport through an alternative port are considered. An acceptable option is determined, taking into account the additional costs and transit time. A routing simulation is made using SPSS software.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
89--99
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 27 poz.
Twórcy
  • University of Ruse, Department of Transport; 8 Studentska St., 7017 Ruse, Bulgaria
autor
  • University of Ruse, Department of Transport; 8 Studentska St., 7017 Ruse, Bulgaria
  • Institute of Mathematics and Informatics, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, Department of Information Modeling; Acad. Georgi Bonchev St., Block 8, 1113 Sofia, Bulgaria
autor
  • University of Ruse, Department of Transport; 8 Studentska St., 7017 Ruse, Bulgaria
autor
  • University of Ruse, Department of Transport; 8 Studentska St., 7017 Ruse, Bulgaria
Bibliografia
  • 1. Beuthe, M. & Jourquin, B. & Urbain, N. & Bruinsma, F. & Lingemann, I. & Ubbels, B. & Van Heumen, E. Estimating the impacts of water depth and new infrastructures on transport by inland navigation: a multimodal approach for the Rhine corridor. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences. 2012. Vol. 54. P. 387-401.
  • 2. Scholten, A. Massenguttransport auf dem Rhein vor dem Hintergrund des Klimawandels -Eine Untersuchung der Auswirkungen von Niedrigwasser auf die Binnenschifffahrt und die verladende Wirtschaft. Wuerzburger Geographische Arbeiten 104. Wuerzburg. 2010. 361 p. [In German: Bulk goods transport on the Rhine against the background of climate change - An investigation into the effects of low water levels on inland shipping and the loading economy].
  • 3. Scholten, A. & Rothstein, B. Auswirkungen von Niedrigwasser und Klimawandel auf dieverladende Wirtschaft, Binnenschifffahrt und Haefen entlang des Rheins - Untersuchungen zur gegenwaertigen und zukuenftigen Vulnerabilitaet durch Niedrigwasser. Wuerzburger Geographische Arbeiten 107. Wuerzburg. 2012. 376 p. [In German: Effects of low water and climate change on the shipping economy, inland shipping and ports along the Rhine - studies on current and future vulnerability to low water].
  • 4. Басейнова дирекция за управление на водите. Предварителна оценка на риска от наводнения в Дунавски регион. Дунавски регион. Плевен. 2012. [In Bulgarian: Basin Directorate for Water Management. Preliminary flood risk assessment in the Danube region. Danube region. Pleven].
  • 5. Гладков, Б. Хидроложки процеси на река Дунав. Годишник на Университета по Архитектура, строителство и геодезия София. 2020. Том 53. Брой 4. [In Bulgarian: Gladkov, B. Hydrological processes of the Danube River. Yearbook of the University of Architecture, Construction and Geodesy Sofia. 2020. Vol. 53. No. 4.].
  • 6. Дачев, Ю. & Цветков, М. & Христов, Х. Прогнозиране на лед и ледоход в българския участък на река Дунав. Сборник с доклади “Стратегически алианс-фактор за развитието на икономическите коридори“ ВВМУ „Никола Й. Вапцаров“. 2019. [In Bulgarian: Dachev, Yu. & Tsvetkov, M. & Hristov, H. Prediction of ice and ice flow in the Bulgarian section of the Danube River. Collection of reports “Strategic alliance-factor for the development of economic corridors” VVMU “Nikola Y. Vaptsarov].
  • 7. Иванов, К. & Асенов, А. & Пенев, С. & Костадинов, С. Фактори, влияещи върху безопасността и устойчивостта на превозите в българския участък на река Дунав. Proceedings of University of Ruse. 2017. Vol. 56. Book 4. [In Bulgarian: Ivanov, K. & Asenov, A. & Penev, S. & Kostadinov, S. Factors affecting the safety and sustainability of transport in the Bulgarian section of the Danube River. Proceedings of University of Ruse].
  • 8. Ранкова, М. Хидроложки подходи за ресурски оценки по водосбори и водни тела. Национален институт по метеорология и хидрология. Дисертация. БАН. София. 2022. [In Bulgarian: Rankova, M. Hydrological approaches to resource assessments in watersheds and water bodies. National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology. Dissertation. BAS. Sofia].
  • 9. Христов, Х. Хидрологично състояние на река Дунав и дейности за повишаване безопасността на корабоплаването в българския участък. 2017. Дисертация. ВВМУ „Никола Й. Вапцаров“ [In Bulgarian: Hristov, H. Hydrological condition of the Danube River and activities to increase the safety of shipping in the Bulgarian section. 2017. Dissertation. "Nikola Y. Vaptsarov" State Medical University].
  • 10. Bader, S. & Devanthery, D. & Hertig, A. & Jakob, A. & Kann, C. & et. al. Auswirkungen des Hitzesommers 2003 auf die Gewaesser. Schriftenreihe Umwelt. Nr. 369. ed. BAFU. Bern. 2004. [In German: Effects of the hot summer of 2003 on the water bodies].
  • 11. Beuthe, M. & Jourquin, B. & Urbain, N. & Lingemann, I. & Ubbels, B. Climate change impacts on transport on the Rhine and Danube: A multimodal approach. Transportation Research: Part D. Transport and Enviropment. 2014. Vol. 27. P. 6-11.
  • 12. Caris, A. & et al. Integration of inland waterway transport in the intermodal supply chain: a taxonomy of research challenges. Journal of Transport Geography. 2014. Vol. 41. P. 126-136.
  • 13. Grobarcikova, A & Sosedova, J. Design of Agent-Based Model for barge container transport. Transport Problems. 2016. Vol. 11(4). P. 95-101.
  • 14. Hekkenberg, R. Optimization of the dimensions of dry bulkships: The case of the river Rhine. Maritime Economics & Logistics. 2016. Vol. 18(2). P. 211-229.
  • 15. Hekkenberg, R.G. & Van Dorsser, C. & Schweighofer, J. Modelling sailing time and cost for inland waterway transport. European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research. 2017. Vol. 17(4). P. 508-529.
  • 16. Jonkeren, O. An explorative study to inland waterway transport: the Rhine market. 45th Congress of the European Regional Science Association. Department of Spatial Economics, Vrije Universiteit. Amsterdam. 2005.
  • 17. Jonkeren, О. & Jourquin, B. & Rietveld, P. Modal-split effects of climate change: The effect of low water levels on the competitive position of inland waterway transport in the river Rhine area. Transportation Research: Part A Policy and Practice. 2011. Vol. 45. No. 10. P. 1007-1019.
  • 18. Jonkeren, O. & Rietveld, P. & Van Ommeren, J. Climate change and inland waterway transport - welfare effects of low water levels on the River Rhine. J Trans Eco Policy. 2017. Vol. 41(3). P. 387-411.
  • 19. Koetse, M.J. & Rietveld, P. The impact of climate change and weather on transport: An overview of empirical findings. Transportation Research Part D. 2009. Vol. 14(3). P. 205-221.
  • 20. Renner, V. Der Entwurf eines Schiffes orientiert sich immer an den gegenwaertig gueltigen gesetzlichen Vorgaben. Binnenschifffahrt. ZfB. 2005. No. 6. [In German: The design of a ship is always based on the currently valid legal requirements].
  • 21. Scholten, A. & Rothstein, B. Navigation on the Danube - Limitations by low water levels and their impacts. DOI: 10.2788/236234.
  • 22. Todorov, V. & Dimov, I. & Georgieva, R. & Dimitrov, Yu. & Apostolov, S. & Stoenchev, M. Advanced stochastic approaches for option pricing based on Sobol sequence. AIP Conference Proceedings. 2022. Vol. 2522. No. 110001. DOI: 10.1063/5.0101458.
  • 23. VBD. Technische und wissenschaftliche Konzepte fuer flussangepasste Binnenschiffe. Versuchsanstalt fuer Binnenschiffbau e.V. Duisburg. 2004. [In German: VBD. Technical and scientific concepts for river-adapted inland vessels. Research Institute for Inland Shipbuilding e.V. Duisburg].
  • 24. Wisnicki, B. Determinants of river ports development into logistics trimodal nodes, illustrated by the ports of the Lower Vistula River. Transportation Research Procedia. 2016. Vol. 16. P. 576-586.
  • 25. Zheng, Y. & Kim, A. Rethinking business-as-usual: Mackenzie River freight transport in the context of climate change impacts in northern Canada. Transportation Research. Part D. 2017. Vol. 53. P. 276-289.
  • 26. Каролева, П. Характеристика на условията на корабоплаване по река Дунав и определяне на тяхното значение за извършването на товарни превози. Механика, Транспорт, Комуникации. 2014. Том 12, Брой 1. [In Bulgarian: Karoleva, P. Characterization of the conditions of navigation on the Danube River and determination of their importance for carrying out cargo transportation. Mechanics, Transport, Communications. 2014. Vol. 12. No. 1].
  • 27. Kunchev, L. & Sokolov, E. & Dimitrov, E. Experimental study of transport flows in big cities. Engineering for rural development. Latvia. 2022. P. 590-597. DOI: 10.22616/ERDev.2022.21.TF192.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-2d3ffaaa-5aeb-4ef1-96f9-371d1b16eaaf
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.