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Risk optimization of road tunnels using Bayesian networks

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Probabilistic methods of risk optimization are applied to specify the most effective arrangements of road tunnels. The total consequences of alternative arrangements are assessed using Bayesian networks supplemented by decision and utility nodes. It appears that the optimization may provide valuable information for a rational decision concerning number of escape routes. Discount rate seems to affect the total consequences and the optimum arrangements of the tunnels more significantly than number of escape routes.
Słowa kluczowe
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
297--304
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 18 poz., rys.
Twórcy
autor
  • Czech Technical University in Prague, Šolinova 7, 166 08 Praha 6, Czech Republic
autor
  • SATRA Ltd., Sokolská 32, 120 00 Praha 2, Czech Republic
Bibliografia
  • 1. Directive 2004/54/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 29 April 2004: on minimum safety requirements for tunnels in the trans-European road network. Official Journal of the European Union L 201/56 of 7 June 2004.
  • 2. Melchers R.E.: Structural reliability analysis and prediction. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester, p. 437, 1999.
  • 3. Steward M.S. & Melchers R.E.: Probabilistic risk assessment of engineering system. Chapman & Hall, London, p. 274, 1997.
  • 4. Holický M., Šajtar L.: Risk Assessment of road tunnels based on Bayesian network. Advances in Safety and Reliability, ESREL 2005. Taylor & Francis Group, London, pp. 873-879, 2005.
  • 5. NS 5814: Requirements for risk analysis. 1991.
  • 6. CAN/CSA-Q634-91: Risk analysis requirements and guidelines. 1991.
  • 7. ISO 2394 General principles on reliability for structures. 1998.
  • 8. ISO/IEC Guide 73: Risk management – Vocabulary - Guidelines for use in standards, 2002.
  • 9. ISO/IEC Guide 51: 1999, Safety aspects – Guidelines for their inclusion in standards.
  • 10. ISO 9000:2000: Quality management systems – Fundamentals and vocabulary.
  • 11. Vrouwenvelder A., Holický M., Tanner C.P., Lovegrove D.R., Canisius E.G.: CIB Report. Publication 259. Risk assessment and risk communication in civil engineering. CIB, 2001.
  • 12. Worm E.W.: Safety concept of Westershelde tunnel. Rukopis článku poskytnutý firmou SATRA v březnu. 2002.
  • 13. Brussaard L.A., Kruiskamp M.M., Oude Essink M.P.: The Dutch model for the quantitative risk analysis of road tunnels. ESREL 2004, Berlin, June 2004.
  • 14. Vrouwenvelder A.C.W.M., Krom A.H.M.: Hazard and the Consequences for Tunnels Structures and Human Life. 1st International Symposium Safe and Reliable Tunnels in Prague, CUR, Gouda, The Netherlands, 2004.
  • 15. Weger D. de, Kruiskamp M.M., Hoeksma J.: Road Tunnel Risk Assessment in the Netherlands. TUNprim: A Spreadsheet Model for the Calculation of the Risks in Road Tunnels, ESREL 2001.
  • 16. Ruffin E., P. Cassini P., H. Knoflacher.: Transport of hazardous goods. See chapter 17 of Beard A and Carvel R (2005). The Handbook of Tunnel Fire Safety. Thomas Telford Ltd, London, 2005.
  • 17. Knoflacher H., Pfaffenbichler P.C.: A comparative risk analysis for selected Austrian tunnels. 2nd International Conference Tunnel Safety and Ventilation, Graz, 2004.
  • 18. Jensen Finn.V.: Introduction to Bayesian networks. Aalborg University, Denmark, 1996.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-2afa23a4-b4a0-41d8-81a6-652f8caa4959
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