Estimating Flood Quantiles on the Basis of Multi-Event Rainfall Simulation - Case Study

• Autorzy: Jarosińska E. , Pierzga K.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/acgeo-2015-0046

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This paper presents an approach to estimating the probability distribution of annual discharges Q based on rainfall-runoff modelling using multiple rainfall events. The approach is based on the prior knowledge about the probability distribution of annual maximum daily totals of rainfall P in a natural catchment, random disaggregation of the totals into hourly values, and rainfall-runoff modelling. The presented Multi-Event Simulation of Extreme Flood method (MESEF) combines design event method based on single-rainfall event modelling, and continuous simulation method used for estimating the maximum discharges of a given exceedance probability using rainfall-runoff models. In the paper, the flood quantiles were estimated using the MESEF method, and then compared to the flood quantiles estimated using classical statistical method based on observed data.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

rainfall event; precipitation generating; rainfall-runoff modelling; probability distribution of annual maximum discharges; antecedent runoff conditions; flood quantiles

PL

opad deszczu; osady; modelowanie opad-odpływ; rozkład prawdopodobieństwa maksymalnej rocznej wyładowania; kwantyle przeciwpowodziowe

• Wydawca: Instytut Geofizyki PAN ; Springer
• Czasopismo: Acta Geophysica
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: Vol. 63, no. 6
• Strony: 1639--1663
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 25 poz., rys. tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Jarosińska E.

• Institute of Water Engineering and Water Management, Cracow University of Technology, Cracow, Poland

autor

Pierzga K.

• Hydromodel Center of Hydrologic and Environmental Engineering, Brzezna, Poland

Bibliografia

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