Comparison of sub series with diferent lengths using şen innovative trend analysis

Alashan, Sadık

doi:10.1007/s11600-022-00869-6

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Comparison of sub series with diferent lengths using şen innovative trend analysis

Autorzy

Alashan Sadık

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-022-00869-6

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Climate change causes trends in hydro-meteorological series. Traditional trend analysis methods such as Mann-Kendall and Spearman Rho are sensitive to dependent series and cannot detect non-monotonic trends. Şen-innovative trend analysis method is launched into literature in order to overcome these restrictions. It does not require any restrictive assumptions as serial independence and normal distribution and examines a given time series as equally divided into two sub-series. The Şen multiple innovative trend analysis methodology is improved to detect partial trends on different sub-series, again with equal lengths. Climate change strongly affects hydro-meteorological parameters today compared to the last twenty or thirty years and gives asymmetrical trend change points in hydro-meteorological time series. Due to asymmetric trend change points, it may be necessary to analyze sub-series with different lengths to use all measured data. In this study, the Şen innovative trend analysis method is revised to satisfy these requirements (ITA_DL). The new approach compared with the traditional Mann-Kendall (MK) and Şen innovative trend analysis (Şen_ITA) gives successful and consistent results. The ITA_DL gives four monotonic trends on May, July, September, and October rainfall series of Oxford although the MK gives three mono tonic trends in the May, July, and December and cannot detect trends on the September and October. In the ITA_DL visual inspection, the December rainfall series does not show an overall or partial trend. The ITA_DL trend results are consistent with the Şen_ITA except for the September rainfall series, although it has different trend slope amounts.

Słowa kluczowe

climate change innovative trend analysis Pettitt test trend change point sub-series

zmiana klimatu innowacyjna analiza trendów test Pettitta

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2023

Tom

Vol. 71, no. 1

Strony

373--383

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 44 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Alashan Sadık

sadikalashan@bingol.edu.tr

Civil Engineering Department, Bingöl University, Bingöl, Turkey

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1769-4590

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2024).

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

bwmeta1.element.baztech-25303f5e-22f7-4365-a601-71d7a5c97f77