Detection of pathological crisis processes in branches of economy (on the example of agriculture of Ukraine)

• Autorzy: Pronoza P.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The article is devoted to applying the concept of early detection of pathological crisis processes to analyze the dynamics of Ukrainian agriculture development in 2003-2011. The analysis is based on time series of the export, import, production volume, export and import prices for agricultural products, volume of loans and investments. Despite the fact that the only branch that demonstrated the growth of output in 2008-2009 was agriculture, there were observed four years of crisis in agriculture during the period under consideration. The built signal panel and structural and logical model of pathological crisis processes detection in agriculture of Ukraine showed that the leading role was played by the investment balance deficit, reduction of the technological level of exports compared to imports and growth of domestic production credit bubble.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

crisis pathological processes; agriculture; signal panel; imbalance; disequilibria; structural model; logical model; detection; crisis indicators

PL

rolnictwo; panel sygnałowy; nierównowaga; model strukturalny; model logiczny; detekcja; wskaźniki kryzysu

• Wydawca: Centrum Badań i Innowacji Pro-Akademia ; Ukrainian Academy of Sciences - Research and Development Centre for Industrial Problems of Development
• Czasopismo: Acta Innovations
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: no. 17
• Strony: 56--64
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 14 poz., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Pronoza P.

• Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, 9a Lenіna Pr., 61166, Kharkіv, Ukraine

Bibliografia

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2018).