Estimation of the Probability of Propulsion Loss by a Seagoing Ship Based on Expert Opinions

• Autorzy: Brandowski A. , Frackowiak W.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The event of the loss of propulsion function has been defined as hazardous event to a seagoing ship. It has been formalized. The procedure of acquisition of expert opinions on frequency of the event occurrence has been described. It may be considered to be of a numerical-fuzzy character. The fuzzy part was transferred to the numerical form by the pair comparison method. An example of the ship propulsion system comprising a low speed internal combustion engine and a solid propeller illustrates the method presented. It may be used wherever a hazard analysis has to be performed of a system involving human and technical aspects and there is a shortage of objective data on the investigated object.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Probability; Propulsion Loss; estimation; seagoing ship; Expert Opinion; Hazard Analysis; Immediate Catastrophic Failure (ICF); risk analysis

• Wydawca: Faculty of Navigation, Gdynia Maritime University
• Czasopismo: TransNav : International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: Vol. 3, no. 4
• Strony: 449--454
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 7 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Brandowski A.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Frackowiak W.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

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