Macro Models of Vehicle Kilometres Travelled

• Autorzy: Jamroz K. , Wachnicka J.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

There are a number of ways to measure transport of which kilometres travelled is the most frequent macro indicator (at country level). It is used to estimate projected fuel consumption, potential number of vehicles, amount and type of exhaust fumes emissions and the number of road accidents and casualties. The paper presents macro models of vehicle kilometres travelled, built on the basis of data from some fifty countries worldwide. Next, the resulting model was calibrated for the conditions in Poland.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

road traffic; kilometres travelled; forecast model

• Wydawca: Międzynarodowa Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki i Transportu we Wrocławiu
• Czasopismo: Logistics and Transport
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: Vol. 27, No. 3
• Strony: 17--24
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 7 poz., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Jamroz K.

• Gdansk University of Technology, Poland

autor

Wachnicka J.

• Gdansk University of Technology, Poland

Bibliografia

• [1] Polzin S.E.: The Case for Moderate Growth in Vehicle Miles of Travel: A Critical Juncture in US Travel Behaviour Trends. Centre for Urban Transportation Research, University of South Florida, Tampa USA, 2006
• [2] Jamroz K.: Metoda zarządzania ryzykiem w inżynierii drogowej. (in Polish: Method of road engineering risk management). Wydawnictwo Politechniki Gdańskiej. Gdańsk 2011.
• [3] Oppe S.: Traffic safety developments in Poland. Report No D-2001-8, SWOV Institute for Road Safety Research, The Netherlands, Leidschendam, 2001.
• [4] Koornstra M.: Prediction of traffic fatalities and prospects for mobility becoming sustainable - safe. Sadhana Vol. 32, Part 4, August 2007, pp. 365 -395, Printed in India
• [5] Jamroz K.: Identyfikacja czynników wpływających na śmiertelność wypadków drogowych.(in Polish: Identification of factors influencing road accident mortality). Autobusy. Technika, Eksploatacja, Systemy Transportowe. 3/2013.
• [6] Jamroz K.: Prognozowanie pracy przewozowej pojazdów dla potrzeb zarządzania bezpieczeństwem ruchu drogowego (in English: Forecasting vehicle kilometres travelled for the purposes of road safety management). Zeszyty Naukowe SITK Kraków, Nr 2/2010.
• [7] STATISTICA. StatSoftInc. Kraków 2008.