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Soft postglacial cliffs in Poland under climate change

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The paper presents the results of the simulations of soft cliff erosion in Poland under future sea level rise. Two locations were investigated: one situated on the Wolin island, and the second near the town of Ustka. The cliffs will be suffering enhanced erosion for a number of reasons. First, the adopted sea level rise of 0.7 m results in a direct attack on cliff foot, leading to enhanced erosion with rates being roughly twice as high as that occurring without the rise. A high rate of erosion can persist because the cliff cannot reconfigure itself by moving landward and will permanently remain exposed to wave attack even under milder regimes. Second, the wave climates in the Baltic Sea release most energy in close shoreline proximity. Third, longer storm event durations can lead to ‘erosion saturation’, but this result requires further investigations, which will include alongshore effects induced by local bathymetry and longshore currents, ignored in 1-D simulations. Finally, the granulometry was found less important; finer grains offer less resistance to depletion, leading to greater erosion. The results demonstrate the need for vast follow-up research: (1) detailed mapping of the bathymetry near cliffs in order to properly reproduce alongshore redistribution of sediment during storms and achieve better estimates of cliff erosion, (2) detailed mapping of cliff lithology in order to properly reproduce their sediment composition and thus achieve better estimates of built-in susceptibility to erosion, (3) preparation of 2-D modeling suites for improved assessment of the rates of erosion of cliffs subjected to sea level rise.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
319--333
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 22 poz., map., tab., wykr.
Twórcy
  • Institute of Hydro-Engineering, Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdańsk, Poland
  • Institute of Hydro-Engineering, Polish Academy of Sciences, Gdańsk, Poland
Bibliografia
  • 1. BACC II — BALTEX Assessment of climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin, 2015. Second Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin. The BACC II Author Team. Regional Climate Studies. Springer, Cham, Heidelberg, New York, Dordrecht, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16006-1
  • 2. Boniecka, H., Gajda, A., Gawlik, W., Marcinkowski, T., Olszewski, T., Szmytkiewicz, M., Skaja, M., Szmytkiewicz, P., Chrząstowska, N., Piotrowska, D., 2013. Monitoring and investigation of the current condition of the coastal zone: assessment of the effectiveness of coastal protection schemes implemented under the long-term “Programme of Coastal Protection”. Maritime Institute in Gdańsk, 250 Technical Rep. No. 6793 (in Polish).
  • 3. British Standard Code of Practice for Maritime Structures, 2000. British Standard Code of practice for Maritime structures Part 1. General Criteria. The British Standards Institution, London BS 6349: Pt. 1.
  • 4. Dnv-Os, 2011. Design of Offshore Wind Turbine Structures. Det Norske Veritas, Bærum. Eberhards, G., 2003. The sea coast of Latvia. Morphology Structure. Coastal Processes. Risk zone. Forecast. Coastal Protection and Monitoring. Latvijas Universitate, Riga, Latvia. Oceanologia 66 (2024) 319-333
  • 5. Florek, W., Kaczmarzyk, J., Majewski, M., Olszak, I.J., 2008. Lithological and extreme event control of changes in cliff morphology in the Ustka region. Landform Analysis 7, 53-68 (in Polish).
  • 6. Geodynamic Map of Polish Baltic Sea Coastal Region, 2007. Sheets 3, 4 and 25. Polish Nat. Geol. Inst., Warsaw. IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report, 2014. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full.pdf (accessed 14th June 2021).
  • 7. Kostrzewski, A., Zwoliński, Z., 1986. Operation and morphologic effects of present-day morphogenetics processes modelling the cliffed coast of Wolin Island, N.W. Poland. In: Gardiner, V. (Ed.), International Geomorphology. John Wiley and Sons, New York, 1231-1252.
  • 8. Kostrzewski, A., Zwoli´nski, Z., 1995. Present-day morphodynamics of the cliff coasts of Wolin Island. J. Coastal Res. 22 (Sp. Iss), 293-303.
  • 9. Kostrzewski, A., Zwolinski, Z., Winowski, M., Tylkowski, J., Samołyk, M., 2015. Cliff top recession rate and cliff hazards for the sea coast of Wolin Island (Southern Baltic). Baltica 28 (2), 109-120.
  • 10. Kostrzewski, A., Musielak, S., Furmańczyk, K., Dudzińska-Nowak, J., Osadczuk, K., Winowski, M., Wolski, T., Zwoliński, Z., 2021.
  • 11. Chapter 10. The current evolution of South Baltic coastal relief. In: Zwoli´nski, Z. (Ed.), Contemporary transformations of Poland’s relief. Bogucki Wydawnictwo Naukowe, Pozna´n, 575-619, (in Polish). https://doi.org/10.12657/9788379863822-10
  • 12. Łabuz, T., 2012. Coastal response to climatic changes: discussion with emphasis on southern Baltic Sea. Landform Anal 21, 43-55.
  • 13. Mileriené, R., Gulbinskas, S., Blazauskas, N., Dailidiene, I., 2008. Geological indicators for integrated coastal zone management. In: US/EU-Baltic International Symposium, 27-28 May 2008, Tallinn, Estonia, 1-4.
  • 14. Pruszak, Z., Zawadzka, E., 2005. Vulnerability of Poland’s coast to sea level rise. Coast Eng. J. 47, 131-155.
  • 15. Ryabchuk, D., Kolesov, A., Chubarenko, B., Spiridonov, M., Kurennoy, D., Soomere, T., 2011. Coastal erosion processes in the eastern Gulf of Finland and their links with long-term geological and hydrometeorological factors. Boreal Environ. Res. 16, 117-137.
  • 16. Sterr, H., 2008. Assessment of vulnerability and adaptation to sea level rise for coastal zone of Germany. J. Coastal Res. 24, 380-393.
  • 17. Subotowicz, W., 1982. Cliff lithodynamics. Ossolineum Publ., Gdańsk (in Polish).
  • 18. Terefenko, P., Giza, A., Paprotny, D., Kubicki, A., Winowski, M., 2018. Cliff Retreat Induced by Series of Storms at Miedzyzdroje (Poland). J. Coastal Res. 85, 181-185. https://doi.org/10.2112/SI85-037.1
  • 19. USGS Professional Paper, 2004. Formation, Evolution, and Stability of Coastal Cliffs — Status and Trends. U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, 129.
  • 20. Winowski, M., 2008. Geomorphological effects of ice melt on Wolin island cliffs. Landform Analysis 9, 222-225 (in Polish).
  • 21. Winowski, M., 2015. The activity of landslides on the cliffcoast on the Wolin Island under the influence of hydrometeorological events with high morphogenetic potential (Bay of Pomerania — Southern Baltic. Landform Analysis 28, 87-102 (in Polish). https://doi.org/10.12657/landfana.028.007
  • 22. Wiśniewski, B., Wolski, T., 2009. Catalogues of sea level storm surges and falls and extreme water levels on the Polish coast. Marine Acad. Publ., Szczecin, 156 pp. (in Polish).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-236e47f5-f888-42fa-b473-50abd5fb74e4
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