Quantitative Method of Ex-Ante Project Risk Assessment Based on Checklist Method

• Autorzy: Kozień Ewa

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.24425/mper.2024.153123

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Risk is an issue of interdisciplinary character and accompanies all actions undertaken in companies, e.g. projects. Identification and assessment of risk is an important issue, but at the same time it is particularly difficult in actions of unique character such as projects. This article identifies exogenous and endogenous risk factors that affect successful project implementation. Six risk-generating areas were defined to identify and assess ex-ante risks in the project: project environment, client and contract, suppliers, organization maturity and a project team. Each one of them was assigned analytical criteria and a method for their assessment. Empirical verification was made based on an example of a manufacturing process. The proposed method is a support for project managers in a process of decision-making and for actions undertaken by managers aimed at reduction of risk in a project, especially at a stage of its preparation.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

project management; production planning and control; procedures for process planning; production activity control; process supervision; risk assessment

• Wydawca: Production Engineering Committee of the Polish Academy of Sciences ; Polish Association for Production Management
• Czasopismo: Management and Production Engineering Review
• Rocznik: 2024
• Tom: Vol. 15, No. 4
• Strony: 1--13
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 53 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Kozień Ewa

• Cracow University of Economics, Rakowicka 27, 31-510 Cracow, Poland

Bibliografia

• Adams, J. (1995). Risk. Routledge.
• Aven, T. (2016). Risk assessment and risk management: Review of recent advances on their foundation. European Journal of Operational Research, 253(1), 1–13. DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2015.12.023
• Beyeler, A. (1994). Risikomanagement komplexer Projekte. IO: Management-Zeitschrift industrielle Organisation, 63(2), 27–30.
• Borecki, M. (2020). Risk Level Analysis in the Selected (Initial) Stage of the Project Life Cycle. Management and Production Engineering Review, 11(2), 104–112. DOI: 10.24425/mper.2020.136124
• Bradley, K. (2003). Basis of Prince 2 Methodology, Centrum Rozwiązań Menedżerskich (in Polish).
• Burke, R. (1999). Project Management Planning and Control Techniques. John Wiley & Sons.
• Craig, J. C. (2012). Project Management Lite. CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform.
• DeMarko, T. (1998). Der Termin. Ein Roman über Projectmanagement, Hanser.
• DIN (2000). Project business – Project management systems – Elements and structures. DIN 69904:2000-11.
• Dictionary of the Polish Language (1979). PWN (in Polish).
• Frame, J. D. (2003). Managing Projects in Organisations. Jossey-Bass.
• Franke, A., and Fürnohf, M. (1998). Risikomanagement von Projekten, TŰV Media.
• Geoff, N. (2010). Likkert scales, levels of measurement and the “laws” of statistics. Advances in Health Science Education, 15(5), 625–632. DOI: 10.1007/s10459-010-9222-y
• Haller, M. (1978). Risiko-Management: neues Element in der Führung. IO: Management-Zeitschrift industrielle Organisation, 47(11), 483–487.
• Heinz, W. (1999). Public Private Partnership. In: Wollmann H., Roth R. (Eds.). Kommunalpolitik, VS Verlag für Sozialwissenschaften.
• Hopkin, P. (2013). Fundamentals of Risk Management, Kogan Page.
• Ibbs, C. W., Reginato, J. M., and Kwak, Y. H. (2004). Developing Project Management Capability: Benchmarking, Maturity, Modeling, Gap Analyses, And ROI Studies. In: Pinto J. K., Morris P. W. G. (Eds.). The Wiley Guide to Managing Projects, Wiley & Sons.
• Jajuga, K. (2007). Risk Management. Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN (in Polish).
• Jakoby, W. (2015). Projektmanagement für Ingenieure. Springer Vieweg.
• Kaczmarek, T. (2002). Risk Management, commercial, financial and production, Wydawnictwo ODiTK (in Polish).
• Kerzner, H. (2018). Project Management Best Practices: Achieving Global Excellence. Wiley.
• Khan, F., Kim, J.H., Mathiassen, L., and Moore, R. (2021). Data breach management: an integrated risk model. Information & Management, 58(1), 103392. DOI: 10.1016/j.im.2020.103392
• Kozarkiewicz, A. (2012). Project portfolio management. Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN (in Polish).
• Kozień, A. (2021). The Principle of Sustainable Development as the Basis for Weighing the Public Interest and Individual Interest in the Scope of the Cultural Heritage Protection Law in the European Union. Sustainability, 13(7), 3985. DOI: 10.3390/su13073985
• Kozień, E., and Kozień, M.S. (2019). Ex-ante risk estimation in the production project. System Safety: Human – Technical Facility – Environment, Sciendo, 1(1), 708–715. DOI: 10.2478/czoto-2019-0090
• Kozień, E., and Kozień, A. (2018a). Legal and economic mechanisms of institutional support of implementation of European projects in view of the European Union law. In: Cingula M., Rhein D., Machrafi M. (Eds.). Economic and Social Development (Book of Proceedings), 31st International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development – “Legal Challenges of Modern World”, Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency, 474–484.
• Kozień, E., and Kozień, A. (2018b). The sustainability development concept under the regulations in force of the Treaty on European Union and the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union – legal and economical view. [in:] Ribeiro H., Naletina D., da Silva A. L. (Eds.). Economic and Social Development (Book of Proceedings), 35th International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development – “Sustainability from an Economic and Social Perspective”, Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency, 402–412.
• Kozień, E. (2018c). Using the Risk-List Method for Risk Assessment in the Project, Economic and Social Development, In: Cingula M., Rhein D., Machrafi M., (Eds.). Economic and Social Development (Book of Proceedings), 31st International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development – “Legal Challenges of Modern World”, Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency, 152–158.
• Kozień, E., and Kozień, M.S. (2018d). Using the Fuzzy Logic Description for the Ex Ante Risk Assessment in the Project, Economic and Social Development. In: Ribeiro H., Naletina D., da Silva A. L. (Eds.). Economic and Social Development (Book of Proceedings), 35th International Scientific Conference on Economic and Social Development – “Sustainability from an Economic and Social Perspective”, Varazdin Development and Entrepreneurship Agency, 224–231.
• Kozień, E., and Stanuch, M. (2024). Societal and strategic perspective of ex post project evaluation. International Journal of Management and Economics, 60(2), 108–122. DOI: 10.2478/ijme-2024-0002
• Krechowicz, M., Gierulski, W., Loneragan, S., and Kruse, H. (2022). External Risk Factors Evaluation in Horizontal Directional Drilling Technology Using Failure Mode and Effect Analysis. Management and Production Engineering Review, 13(1), 76–88. DOI: 10.24425/mper.2022.140878
• Krieg, W. (1978). Risikobewältigung – Ein neuer Ansatz zur Ausgestaltung eines zukunftssicheren Führungsinstrumentariums. IO: Management-Zeitschrift industrielle Organisation, 47(12), 533–536.
• Likert, R. (1932). A technique for the measurements of attitudes. Archives of Psychology, 22(140), 1–55.
• Nisar, T.M. (2007). Risk Management in Public–Private Partnership Contracts. Public Organization Review, 7(1), 1–19.
• PMBOKr Guide – A guide to the project management body of knowledge – Seventh edition (2021). Project Management Institute, Inc.
• Radwański, Z., and Olejniczak, A. (2016). Liabilities – general part, C.H. Beck (in Polish).
• Romeike, F. (2018). Risikomanagement. Springer Verlag.
• Romeike, F., and Hager, P. (2020). Erfolgsfaktor Risiko-Management 4.0 Methoden, Beispiele. Checklisten Praxishandbuch für Industrie und Handel, SpringerGabler.
• Samii, R., Van Wassenhove, L.N., and Bhattacharya, S. (2002). An Innovative Public–Private Partnership. New Approach to Development. World Development, 30(6), 91–1008.
• Schreyögg, G. (1993). Umfeld der Unternehmung. In: Wittmann W., Kern W., Köhler R., Küpper H.-U., Wysocki K.. Handwörterbuch der Betriebwirtschaft, Teilband 3, Schäffer-Poesschel Verlag.
• Scott-Young, C., and Samson, D. (2008). Project Success and Project Team Management: Evidence from Capital Projects in the Process Industries. Journal of Operations Management, 26, 749–766. DOI: 10.1016/j.jom.2007.10.006
• Sharma, M., and Bindal, A. (2014). Public-Private Partnership. International Journal of Research, 1(7), 1270–1274.
• Spałek, S. (2013). Maturity of enterprises in project management. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej (in Polish).
• Szyjewski, Z. (2013). IT project management methodologies. Placet (in Polish).
• Tahir, M.Q., Aamir, S.W., and Syed, T.H. (2008). Significance of project management performance assessment (PMPA) model. International Journal of Project Management, 27(2), 378–388. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijproman.2008.05.001
• Tang, L., Shen, Q., and Cheng, E.W.L. (2020). A review of studies on Public–Private Partnership projects in the construction industry. International Journal of Project Management, 28(7), 683–694. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijproman.2009.11.009
• Troanca, D. (2011). Building the project team and project organization – challenges and obstacles. Studies in Business and Economics, 6(3), 186–195.
• Trocki, M., and Juchniewicz, M. (Eds.) (2013). Project evaluation – concept and methods. Oficyna Wydawnicza SGH w Warszawie (in Polish).
• Turner, J.R. (1993). Handbook of Project Based Management: Improving the Processes for Achieving Strategic Objectives. McGraw-Hill.
• Twardochleb, M. (2014). Selection of project teams using stochastic methods. Business Informatics, 1(31), 223–236.
• Verzuh, E. (2012). The Fast Forward MBA in Project Management. John Wiley & Sons.
• Wilson, D. (2005). Risk. Wiley Encyclopedia of Management, Strategic Management. Vol. 12, Blackwell Publishing.
• Wolter, A., Ignatowicz, J., and Stefaniuk, K. (2001). Civil law. Outline of the general part. LexisNexis (in Polish).