Hydrological stream flow modeling in the Talar catchment (central section of the Alborz Mountains, north of Iran): Parameterization and uncertainty analysis using SWAT-CUP

• Autorzy: Gholami A. , Habibnejad Roshan M. , Shahedi K. , Vafakhah M. , Solaymani K.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1515/jwld-2016-0022

Warianty tytułu

PL

Modelowanie przepływu w zlewni rzeki Talar (środkowa część gór Alborz w północnym Iranie): Parametryzacja i analiza niepewności za pomocą SWAT-CUP

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

There are several methods and techniques for measuring the parameters and forecasting the errors in the hydrological models. In this study, semi distributed Soil and Water Asseeement Tool (SWAT) model and SWAT-CUP (CUP – Calibration and Uncertainty Programs) have been applied using SUFI2 program. After collection of data, the whole Talar watershed located in the central section of the Alborz Mountains, north of Iran was separated into 219 hydrological response units (HRU) in 23 sub-watersheds. In order to improve the simulation parameters and obtain better correlation of observed and simulated values, the sensitive parameters were validated to obtain finally the acceptable value of both R² and Nash–Sutcliffe (NS) coefficients equal to 0.93. Final P-value and t-state were also estimated for sensitive parameters. As a result, the CN2 parameter, which was critical in the initial stage of this research was replaced by the SOL-K parameter (electrical conductivity saturated soil layers) as a critical parameter in the later stage. Results of this study show that the SWAT model can be an effective and useful tool for the assessment and optimal management of water and soil resources.

PL

Istnieje kilka metod i technik pomiaru parametrów oraz przewidywania błędów w modelach hydrologicznych. W prezentowanej pracy zastosowano modele SWAT i SWAT-CUP z użyciem programu SUFI2. Po zgromadzeniu danych cała zlewnia rzeki Talar, zlokalizowana w środkowej części gór Alborz w północnym Iranie, została podzielona na 219 jednostek hydrologicznych (HRU) w 23 podzlewniach. W celu usprawnienia parametrów symulacji oraz lepszego powiązania wartości symulowanych i obserwowanych zweryfikowano parametry wrażliwe, co w efekcie doprowadziło wartości R² i współczynnika Nasha– Sutcliffa (NS) do akceptowalnej wartości 0,93. Dla tych parametrów ustalono także końcowe wartości P i t. W wyniku przeprowadzonej analizy parametr CN2, krytyczny na wstępnym etapie badań, został zastąpiony parametrem SOL-K (przewodnictwo elektrolityczne nasyconej warstwy gleby). Wyniki badań świadczą, że model SWAT może być wydajnym i użytecznym narzędziem w ocenie oraz optymalnym zarządzaniu zasobami wody i gleby.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

model validation; precipitation–runoff; sensitive parameters; SWAT-CUP; Talar watershed

PL

badanie dokładności modelu; opad-odpływ; parametry wrażliwe; SWAT-CUP; zlewnia rzeki Talar

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo ITP
• Czasopismo: Journal of Water and Land Development
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: no. 30
• Strony: 57--69
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 62 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Gholami A.

• Sari University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Watershed Management, Mazandaran, Farah Abad Road, Iran

autor

Habibnejad Roshan M.

• Sari University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Watershed Management, Mazandaran, Farah Abad Road, Iran

autor

Shahedi K.

• Sari University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Watershed Management, Mazandaran, Farah Abad Road, Iran

autor

Vafakhah M.

• Tarbiat Modares University, Faculty of Natural Recourses, Department of Watershed Management, Imam Khomeini Blv, Noor, IRAN

autor

Solaymani K.

• Sari University of Agriculture and Natural Resources, Faculty of Natural Resources, Department of Watershed Management, Mazandaran, Farah Abad Road, Iran

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