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The impact of global economic policy uncertainty on bank stability

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Warianty tytułu
PL
Wpływ niepewności globalnej polityki gospodarczej na stabilność banków
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
This paper aims to determine the effect of global economic policy uncertainty on the banking system's stability in Asian countries. The dependent variable in the study is measured through the bank's payment risk Zscore. The primary explanatory factor is global economic policy uncertainty, and other control variables include the banking system's characteristics and the national economic environment. Asian banking systems’ data are collected from World Bank between 2008 and 2020. Based on the System Generalized Method of Moments, the main results indicate that global economic policy uncertainty is seriously exacerbating the instability of the banking system of Asian countries. The study also shows that the ability to use mobilized capital and the degree of concentration of the system reduces the adverse impact of global economic policy uncertainty on the stability of the banking system in Asian countries.
PL
Celem niniejszego artykułu jest określenie wpływu niepewności globalnej polityki gospodarczej na stabilność systemu bankowego w krajach azjatyckich. Zmienna zależna w badaniu jest mierzona za pomocą wskaźnika Zscore ryzyka płatniczego banku. Głównym czynnikiem objaśniającym jest niepewność globalnej polityki gospodarczej, a inne zmienne kontrolne obejmują charakterystykę systemu bankowego i krajowe środowisko gospodarcze. Dane dotyczące azjatyckich systemów bankowych pochodzą z Banku Światowego w latach 2008-2020. W oparciu o system uogólnionej metody momentów, główne wyniki wskazują, że niepewność globalnej polityki gospodarczej poważnie pogarsza niestabilność systemu bankowego krajów azjatyckich. Badanie pokazuje również, że zdolność do wykorzystania zmobilizowanego kapitału i stopień koncentracji systemu zmniejsza niekorzystny wpływ niepewności globalnej polityki gospodarczej na stabilność systemu bankowego w krajach azjatyckich.
Rocznik
Strony
46--61
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 44 poz., tab.
Twórcy
  • Faculty of Banking, Hochiminh University of Banking, Vietnam
  • Faculty of Banking, Hochiminh University of Banking, Vietnam
Bibliografia
  • 1.Acosta-Smith, J., Grill, M. and Lang, J. H., (2020). The leverage ratio, risk-taking and bank stability. Journal of Financial Stability, 100833, 1-46.
  • 2.Ahamed, M. M., Mallick, S. K., (2019). Is financial inclusion good for bank stability? International evidence. Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 157, 403-427.
  • 3.Allen, F., Gale, D., (2004). Competition and financial stability. Journal of money, credit and banking, 36(3), 453-480.
  • 4.Albaity, M., Mallek, R. S. and Noman, A. H. M., (2019). Competition and bank stability in the MENA region: The moderating effect of Islamic versus conventional banks. Emerging Markets Review, 38, 310-325.
  • 5.Al-Thaqeb, S. A., Algharabali, B. G., (2019). Economic policy uncertainty: A literature review. The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 20(C), 1-11.
  • 6.Athanasoglou, P. P., Brissimis, S. N. and Delis, M. D., (2008). Bank-specific, industryspecific and macroeconomic determinants of bank profitability. Journal of international financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 18(2), 121-136.
  • 7.Arellano, M., Bover, O., (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29-51.
  • 8.Athari, S. A., Bahreini, M., (2021). The impact of external governance and regulatory settings on the profitability of Islamic banks: Evidence from Arab markets. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 1, 1-24.
  • 9.Athari, S. A., (2021). Domestic political risk, global economic policy uncertainty, and banks’ profitability: evidence from Ukrainian banks. Post-Communist Economies, 33(4), 458- 483.
  • 10.Baker, S. R., Bloom, N. and Davis, S. J., (2016). Measuring economic policy uncertainty. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 131(4), 1593-1636.
  • 11.Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A. and Levine, R., (2006). Bank concentration, competition, and crises: First results. Journal of Banking and Finance, 30(5), 1581-1603.
  • 12.Botshekan, M. H., Takaloo, A. and Abdollahi Poor, M. S., (2021). Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (GEPU) and Non-Performing Loans (NPL) in Iran's Banking System: Dynamic Correlation using the DCC-GARCH Approach. Journal of Money and Economy, 16(2), 187-212.
  • 13.Brunnermeier, M. K., Pedersen, L. H., (2009). Market liquidity and funding liquidity. The review of financial studies, 22(6), 2201-2238.
  • 14.Caglayan, M., Xu, B., (2019). Economic policy uncertainty effects on credit and stability of financial institutions. Bulletin of Economic Research, 71(3), 342-347.
  • 15.Chi, Q., Li, W., (2017). Economic policy uncertainty, credit risks and banks’ lending decisions: Evidence from Chinese commercial banks. China Journal of Accounting Research, 10(1), 33-50.
  • 16.Danisman, G. O., Demir, E. and Ozili, P., (2021). Loan loss provisioning of US banks: Economic policy uncertainty and discretionary behavior. International Review of Economics and Finance, 71, 923-935.
  • 17.Fountas, S., Karatasi, P. and Tzika, P., (2018). Economic policy uncertainty in Greece: measuring uncertainty for the greek macroeconomy. South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, 16(1), 79-92.
  • 18.Gissler, S., Oldfather, J. and Ruffino, D., (2016). Lending on hold: regulatory uncertainty and bank lending standards. Journal. Monetary. Economics, 81, 89-101.
  • 19.Habibullah, M. S., Eng, Y. K., (2006). Does financial development cause economic growth? A panel data dynamic analysis for the Asian developing countries. Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 11(4), 377-393.
  • 20.Hill, H., Gochoco-Bautista, M. S. (Eds.)., (2013). Asia rising: growth and resilience in an uncertain global economy. Edward Elgar Publishing.
  • 21.Hsieh, M. F., Chen, P. F., Lee, C. C. and Yang, S. J., (2013). How does diversification impact bank stability? The role of globalization, regulations, and governance environments. Asia‐Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 42(5), 813-844.
  • 22.International Monetary Fund., (2013). World Economic Outlook: Hopes, Realities, Risks. April, IMF Press.
  • 23.Kakes, J., Nijskens, R., (2018). Size of the banking sector: implications for financial stability (No. 1606). Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
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  • 25.Killins, R. N., Johnk, D. W. and Egly, P. V., (2019). The impact of financial regulation policy uncertainty on bank profits and risk. Studies in Economics and Finance.
  • 26.Kombo, P. G. B. N., Hakizimana, J. and Bouity, C. A., (2021). Impact of Market Concentration on the Stability of the Banking Sector in the Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC). Modern Economy, 12(5), 960-975.
  • 27.Minsky, H. P., (1977). The financial instability hypothesis: An interpretation of Keynes and an alternative to “standard” theory. Challenge, 20(1), 20-27.
  • 28.Ng, J., Saffar, W. and Zhang, J. J., (2020). Policy uncertainty and loan loss provisions in the banking industry. Review of Accounting Studies, 1-52.
  • 29.Ngalawa, H., Tchana, F. T. and Viegi, N., (2016). Banking instability and deposit insurance: The role of moral hazard. Journal of Applied Economics, 19(2), 323-350.
  • 30.Nguyen, T. C., (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Does bank regulation and supervision matter in major European economies? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 74, 101387.
  • 31.Nguyen, C. P., Le, T. H. and Su, T. D., (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and credit growth: Evidence from a global sample. Research in International Business and Finance, 51, 101118.
  • 32.Ozili, P. K., (2022). Economic policy uncertainty, bank nonperforming loans and loan loss provisions: are they correlated? Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, 6(2), 221-235.
  • 33.Ozili, P. K., (2018). Banking stability determinants in Africa. International Journal of Managerial Finance, 14(4), 462-483.
  • 34.Ozili, P. K., Uadiale, O., (2017). Ownership concentration and bank profitability. Future Business Journal, 3(2), 159-171.
  • 35.Pawlowska, M., (2016). Does the size and market structure of the banking sector have an effect on the financial stability of the European Union? The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 14, 112-127.
  • 36.Phan, D. H. B., Iyke, B. N., Sharma, S. S. and Affandi, Y., (2020). Economic policy uncertainty and financial stability - Is there a relation? Economic Modelling, 94, 1018-1029.
  • 37.Rana, P. B., Dowling, J. M., (2009). South Asia: Rising to the challenge of globalization. World Scientific.
  • 38.Rose, P. S., Hudgins, S. C., (2012). Bank Management and Financial Services, New York.
  • 39.Saha, M., Dutta, K. D., (2021). Nexus of financial inclusion, competition, concentration and financial stability: Cross-country empirical evidence. Competitiveness Review: An International Business Journal, 31(4), 669-692.
  • 40.Shabir, M., Jiang, P., Bakhsh, S. and Zhao, Z., (2021). Economic policy uncertainty and bank stability: Threshold effect of institutional quality and competition. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 68, 101610, 1-27.
  • 41.Uhde, A., Heimeshoff, U., (2009). Consolidation in banking and financial stability in Europe: Empirical evidence. Journal of Banking and Finance, 33(7), 1299-1311.
  • 42.Williams, B., (2016). The impact of non-interest income on bank risk in Australia. Journal of Banking and Finance, 73, 16-37.
  • 43.Yakubu, I. N., Bunyaminu, A., (2021). Regulatory capital requirement and bank stability in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Sustainable Finance and Investment, 1-13.
  • 44.Yung, K., Root, A., (2019). Policy uncertainty and earnings management: International evidence. Journal of Business Research, 100, 255-267.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-1cdb813a-0e13-4484-b175-aa7022d22ae7
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