Prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system and maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea area

• Autorzy: Kołowrocki K. , Soszyńska-Budny J.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

There are presented the methods of prediction of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for the initial point of the port oil piping transportation system are presented.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate-weather change process; semi-Markov model; modelling; identification; transportation system

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: Vol. 7, No. 3
• Strony: 143--148
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 23 poz., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Kołowrocki K.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Soszyńska-Budny J.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

Bibliografia

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