Mode-route choice decisions: a case study of CPEC investment in Pakistan railways

• Autorzy: Ali Yousaf , Sabir Muhammad

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.20858/sjsutst.2022.115.1

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This study proposes the use of multi-criteria decision models (MCDM) for transportation mode-route choice decisions. This method is beneficial when trips' microdata are unavailable. Route-mode choice decisions were investigated for three public transportation modes (buses, railways, and airlines) in the post-China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) investment in Pakistan Railways (PR) for a link between Peshawar and Karachi. TOPSIS (Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) was used for the mode choice decisions and a hybrid model of AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Approach) – TOPSIS was used for the route choice decision ML-1 link of PR. This study concludes that rails were the best mode of transportation in post-CPEC investment. Furthermore, route 3, linking Karachi to Peshawar via Lodhran, Multan, and Miniawali, is the best route connection among the four considered routes.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

AHP-TOPSIS; hybrid-CDM; route-mode choice

PL

AHP-TOPSIS; hybrid-CDM; wybór trybu pracy

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej
• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe. Transport / Politechnika Śląska
• Rocznik: 2022
• Tom: z. 115
• Strony: 5--21
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 39 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Ali Yousaf

• School of Management Scienes, Ghulam Ishaq Khan (GIK) Institute of Engineering Sciences and Technology, Topi, Swabi, KPK, Pakistan

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7612-497X

autor

Sabir Muhammad

• NUST Business School (NBS), Naitonal University of Sciences and Techology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6170-5050

Bibliografia

• 1. Abbas S. 2018. "Pakistan Railways Makes Record Loss of 80b Rupees". Daily Morning Mail, Newspaper. December 18, 2017. Available at: http://morning.pk/2017/12/pakistan-railways-makes-record-loss-80b-rupees/.
• 2. Aziz A.H., N.N. Nagle, A.M. Morton, M.R. Hilliard, D.A. White, R.N. Stewart. 2017. "Exploring The Impact of Walk–Bike Infrastructure, Safety Perception, And Built-Environment On Active Transportation Mode choice: A Random Parameter Model Using New York City Commuter Data". Transportation 45: 1-23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-017-9760-8.
• 3. Ben-Akiva M.E., S.R. Lerman. 1985. Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application to Travel Demand. MIT Press.
• 4. Bhat C.R., R. Sardesai. 2006. "The Impact Of Stop-Making And Travel Time Reliability On Commute Mode Choice". Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 40(9): 709-730.
• 5. Böcker L., P. van Amen, M. Helbich. 2017. "Elderly Travel Frequencies And Transport Mode Choices In Greater Rotterdam, The Netherlands". Transportation 44(4): 831-852.
• 6. Boran F.G. 2009. "A multi-criteria intuitionistic fuzzy group decision making for supplier selection with TOPSIS method". Expert Systems with Applications 36(8): 11363-11368.
• 7. Dissanayake D., T. Morikaw. 2010. "Investigating Household Vehicle Ownership, Mode Choice, And Trip Sharing Decisions Using A Combined Revealed Preference/Stated Preference Nested Logit model: Case Study In Bangkok Metropolitan Region". Journal of Transport Geography 18(3): 402-410.
• 8. Dissanayake D., T. Morikawa. 2002. "Household Travel Behavior in Developing Countries Nested Logit Model of Vehicle Ownership, Mode Choice, and Trip Chaining". Journal of the Transportation Research Board 1805(1): 45-52.
• 9. Fleurent C., S. Voß. 2011. “Public transport: case studies and applications”. Public Transport 3: 105-107.
• 10. Földes, D., C. Csiszár. 2015. "Route plan evaluation method for personalised passenger information service". Transport 30(3): 273-285. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/16484142.2015.1086889.
• 11. Hamurcu M., S. Gur, E.H. Ozder, E. Tamer. 2016. "A Multicriteria Decision-Making for Monorail Route Selection in Ankara". International Journal of Industrial Electronics and Electrical Engineering 3(7): 121-125.
• 12. Hensher A.D., J.M. Rose, W.H. Greene. 2007. Applied Choice Analysis A Primer. Third Edition. Cambridge University Press.
• 13. Ivona Z.N., M.K. Zoran, S.Z. Zlatko. 2017. "Application of different methods of multicriteria analysis for railway route selection". Tehnika 72(6): 797-805.
• 14. Jayant A.G. 2014. "TOPSIS-AHP based approach for selection of reverse logistics service provider: a case study of mobile phone industry". Procedia Engineering 97: 2147-2156.
• 15. Johanssonab M.V., T. Heldt, P. Johansson. 2006. "The Effects of Attitudes And Personality Traits On Mode Choice". Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 40(3): 507-525.
• 16. Karahalios H. 2017. "The application of the AHP-TOPSIS for evaluating ballast water treatment systems by ship operators". Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 52: 172-184.
• 17. Keršys A., A. Jurkauskas. 2003. "Search of the route in the network of public communication using a linear sequence method". Transport 18(3): 130-135. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3846/16483840.2003.10414081.
• 18. Kosijer M., M. Ivic, M. Markovic, I. Belosevic. 2012. "Multicriteria decision-making in railway route planning and design". Gradevinar 3: 195-205.
• 19. Larsen K., R. Buliung, G. Faulkner. 2013. "Safety and School Travel: How Does the Environment Along the Route Relate to Safety and Mode Choice?" Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 2327: 9-18.
• 20. McFadden D. 1974. "Conditional Logit Analysis Of Qualitative Choice Behavior". In: Zarembka P. Frontiers in Econometrics: 105-142. Academic Press, New York, USA.
• 21. Meixell M.J., M. Norbis. 2008. "A Review Of The Transportation Mode Choice And Carrier Selection Literature". The International Journal of Logistics Management 19(2): 183-211.
• 22. Mo F. 2018. Economic Survey 2017-18. Ministry of Finance, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad. Available at: http://www.finance.gov.pk/survey/chapters_17/13-Transport_and_Communications.pdf.
• 23. Pakistan Railways. 2018. Pakistan Railways, Government of Pakistan, Ministry of Railways, Islamabad, Pakistan. Available at: https://www.pakrail.gov.pk/AboutUs.aspx.
• 24. PBS. 2017. Pakistan Bureau of Statistics, Population Census 2017. Government of Pakistan, Islamabad, Pakistan. Available at: http://www.pbscensus.gov.pk/.
• 25. PC. 2018. Planning Commission, China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) offical Website. Available at: http://cpec.gov.pk/infrastructure.
• 26. Prato C.G. 2009. "Route choice modeling: past, present and future research directions". Journal of Choice Modelling 2(1): 65-100.
• 27. Prato C.G. 2009. "Route Choice Modeling: Past, Present and Future Research Directions". Journal of Choice Modelling 2(1): 65-100.
• 28. PRC. 2015. People Republic of China, Offical Website. Chronology of China’s Belt and Road Initiative. The State Council, the People'S Republic of China. Available at: http://english.gov.cn/news/top_news/2015/04/20/content_281475092566326.htm.
• 29. Rojas-Cuevas Irma-Delia, Santiago-Omar Caballero-Morales, Jose-Luis Martinez-Flores, Jose-Rafael Mendoza-Vazquez. 2018. „Capacitated vehicle routing problem model for carriers”. Journal of Transport and Supply Chain Management 12(a345).
• 30. Saaty T.L. 1980. Multicriteria Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process. New York: McGraw Hill.
• 31. Saaty T.L. 2008. "Decision Making With The Analytic Hierarchy Process". International Journal of Services Sciences 1(1): 83-98.
• 32. SATP. 2018. South Asia Terrorism Portal, Institute for Conflict Management, New Delhi, Delhi, India, Asia-Pacific (APAC). Available at: http://www.satp.org/.
• 33. Scheiner J., C. Holz-Rau. 2013. "A comprehensive Study Of Life Course, Cohort, And Period Effects On Changes In Travel Mode Use". Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice 47: 167-181.
• 34. Srinivasan K., P. Bhargav, G. Ramadurai, V. Muthuram, S. Srinivasan. 2007. "Determinants of Changes in Mobility and Travel Patterns in Developing Countries: Case Study of Chennai, India". Journal of the Transportation Research Board, Transportation Research Record 2038: 42-52.
• 35. Sun B., A. Ermagun, B. Dan. 2017. "Built Environmental Impacts On Commuting Mode Choice And Distance: Evidence From Shanghai". Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 52B: 441-453.
• 36. Train E.K. 2009. Discrete Choice Methods With Simulation. Cambridge University Press, UK.
• 37. Tsaur S.C. 2002. "The evaluation of airline service quality by fuzzy MCDM". Tourism Management 23(2): 107-115.
• 38. Tsekeris Theodore, Stefan Voß. 2010. “Public transport and road pricing: a survey and simulation experiments”. Public Transport 2: 87-109.
• 39. Yai T., S. Iwakura, S. Morichi. 1997. "Multinomial probit with structured covariance for route choice behavior". Transportation Research Part B: Methodological 31(3): 195-207.

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).