The effect of embedding actual evapotranspiration uncertainty in water balance model: coupling of interval-based hydrologic model and METRIC method

• Autorzy: Khodadadi Maryam , Maleki Roozbahani Tarokh , Taheri Mercedeh , Ganji Fatemeh , Nasseri Mohsen

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-023-01112-6

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The determination of actual evapotranspiration (ET) plays a crucial role in hydrological modelling; however, it is subject to multiple sources of uncertainty. Sophisticated energy-based methods, such as METRIC, may lead to varying results based on different initial and boundary conditions. In this study, the relationship between groundwater withdrawal and the uncertainty effects of ET was explored by incorporating the uncertainty of the calculated ET values through an ensemble-based implementation of the METRIC model into the comprehensive interval-based water balance model, which includes surface and groundwater modules developed in terms of gray value model. The developed interval of ET is based on 20 members with different hot/cold pixels to provide interval-based monthly ET values. The study area is the Ghorveh-Dehgolan basin, a developed and mountainous sub-basin of the Sefidrood watershed with three alluvial aquifers in Northern Iran. The paradigm shift from deterministic hydrological structure to interval-based hydrologic structure improved the statistical metrics of the model responses, such as the streamflow KGE metric of the calibration and validation datasets, which improved from (0.5, 0.18) to (0.57, 0.49), respectively. Additionally, the proposed approach decreased the uncertainty level tied to the simulated streamflow and groundwater levels. Based on the results, normalized uncertainty efficiency (NUE) values of the simulated streamflow and groundwater level values increased as well.

• Wydawca: Instytut Geofizyki PAN ; Springer
• Czasopismo: Acta Geophysica
• Rocznik: 2024
• Tom: Vol. 72, no. 3
• Strony: 1985--2007
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 82 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Khodadadi Maryam

• School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9882-6868

autor

Maleki Roozbahani Tarokh

• School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3133-173X

autor

Taheri Mercedeh

• School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran
• Department of Civil Engineering, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON K1N6N5, Canada

• https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7596-1963

autor

Ganji Fatemeh

• School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

• https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2614-0741

autor

Nasseri Mohsen

• School of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7584-7631

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