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An Efficient Hybrid Classifier Model for Customer Churn Prediction

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EN
Abstrakty
EN
Customer churn prediction is used to retain customers at the highest risk of churn by proactively engaging with them. Many machine learning-based data mining approaches have been previously used to predict client churn. Although, single model classifiers increase the scattering of prediction with a low model performance which degrades reliability of the model. Hence, Bag of learners based Classification is used in which learners with high performance are selected to estimate wrongly and correctly classified instances thereby increasing the robustness of model performance. Furthermore, loss of interpretability in the model during prediction leads to insufficient prediction accuracy. Hence, an Associative classifier with Apriori Algorithm is introduced as a booster that integrates classification and association rule mining to build a strong classification model in which frequent items are obtained using Apriori Algorithm. Also, accurate prediction is provided by testing wrongly classified instances from the bagging phase using generated rules in an associative classifier. The proposed models are then simulated in Python platform and the results achieved high accuracy, ROC score, precision, specificity, F-measure, and recall.
Twórcy
autor
  • Faculty of Computer Science and Engineering, College of Engineering Cherthala, Alappuzha, Kerala, India
autor
  • Information Technology Department, Rajagiri School of Engineering & Technology Kochi-682039, Kerala, India
Bibliografia
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  • [15] Ullah, Irfan, et al. “A churn prediction model using random forest: analysis of machine learning techniques for churn prediction and factor identification in telecom sector,” IEEE access, vol. 7, 2019, pp. 60134-60149. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2019.2914999.
  • [16] Amin, Adnan, et al. “Customer churn prediction in telecommunication industry using data certainty”, Journal of Business Research, vol. 94, 2019, pp. 290-301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2018.03.00.
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  • [18] De Caigny, Arno, et al. “Uplift modeling and its implications for B2B customer churn prediction: A segmentation-based modeling approach,” Industrial Marketing Management, vol. 99, 2021, pp. 28-39. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indmarman.2021.10.001.
  • [19] Karimi, Nooria, et al. ”Customer Profiling and Retention Using Recommendation System and Factor Identification to Predict Customer Churn in Telecom Industry.” Machine Learning: Theoretical Foundations and Practical Applications (2021): 155-172.
  • [20] Slof, Dorenda, Flavius Frasincar, and Vladyslav Matsiiako, “A competing risks model based on latent Dirichlet Allocation for predicting churn reasons,” Decision Support Systems, vol. 146, 2021, pp. 113541. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dss.2021.113541.
  • [21] Othman, Bestoon, et al. “The effects on service value and customer retention by integrating after sale service into the traditional marketing mix model of clothing store brands in China,” Environmental Technology & Innovation, vol. 23, 2021, pp. 101784. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eti.2021.101784.
  • [22] Tianyuan, Zhang, and Sérgio Moro. ”Research trends in customer churn prediction: a data mining approach.” Trends and Applications in Information Systems and Technologies: Volume 1 (2021): 227-237.
  • [23] Khalid, Lawchak Fadhil, et al. ”Customer churn prediction in telecommunications industry based on data mining.” 2021 IEEE Symposium on Industrial Electronics & Applications (ISIEA). IEEE, 2021.
  • [24] De, Soumi, P. Prabu, and Joy Paulose, “Effective ML Techniques to Predict Customer Churn,” 2021 Third International Conference on Inventive Research in Computing Applications (ICIRCA). IEEE, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICIRCA51532.2021.9544785.
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  • [27] Rahman, Manas, and V. Kumar, “Machine learning based customer churn prediction in banking,” 2020 4th International Conference on Electronics, Communication and Aerospace Technology (ICECA). IEEE, 2020. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICECA49313.2020.9297529.
  • [28] Höppner, Sebastiaan, et al. “Profit driven decision trees for churn prediction,” European journal of operational research, vol. 284, no. 3, 2020, pp. 920-933. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2018.11.072.
  • [29] De Caigny, Arno, et al. “Incorporating textual information in customer churn prediction models based on a convolutional neural network,” International Journal of Forecasting, vol. 36, no. 4, 2020, pp. 1563-1578. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.03.029.
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Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-189a2a44-e81b-4b5c-ae13-670fefaa7fde
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