Climate Change Effect on Soil Erosion in Vjosa River Basin

• Autorzy: Marko Oltion , Gjoka Konalsi , Shkodrani Neritan , Gjipalaj Joana

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.12911/22998993/156831

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Soil erosion is closely related to climate changes, because changes to temperature and precipitation regimes may alter the erosivity of rainfall. The present study aimed to project future soil erosion phenomena in the Vjosa River Basin (VRB) using climate projections under the Representative Concentrations Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. SimCLIM model was used to perform the climate projection for the years 2035 and 2050, based on historical temperature and precipitation data (2000–2015). This investigation was carried out by using Erosion Potential Method EPM to estimate the effects of climate change on soil erosion in Vjosa River Basin, Albania. Results show an increase in average min and max annual temperature for both scenarios RCP4.5 and 8.5 by the end of 2050. The evaluation of the monthly precipitations for all RCPs reveals a likely decrease in summer precipitation, and a slight positive trend of winter precipitation for all time periods up to 2050. An increase in terms of eroded material and specific eroded material was estimated from the results of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Thus, it can be stated that the study area has and will have a moderate erosion risk under these climate conditions.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate change; RCP4.5; RCP8.5; Vjosa river basin; erosion potential method; EPM; soil erosion

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Inżynierii Ekologicznej ; Lublin University of Technology
• Czasopismo: Journal of Ecological Engineering
• Rocznik: 2023
• Tom: Vol. 24, nr 2
• Strony: 92--100
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 25 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Marko Oltion

• Department of Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Polytechnic University of Tirana, Rruga Muhamet Gjollesha No. 54, 1023, Tirana, Albania

• https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2734-8296

autor

Gjoka Konalsi

• Department of Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Polytechnic University of Tirana, Rruga Muhamet Gjollesha No. 54, 1023, Tirana, Albania

autor

Shkodrani Neritan

• Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Polytechnic University of Tirana, Rruga Muhamet Gjollesha No. 54, 1023, Tirana, Albania

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8638-9664

autor

Gjipalaj Joana

• Department of Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Polytechnic University of Tirana, Rruga Muhamet Gjollesha No. 54, 1023, Tirana, Albania

• https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1553-756X

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).