Uncertainties on risk analysis : the consequence assessment in an hydrogen refuelling station

• Autorzy: Carpignano A. , Ganci F.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper concerns the problem of uncertainty associated to risk analysis of complex technological systems; this problem is not easy to resolve and manage. This is because such uncertainty has never been simple to quantify and, despite several innovative techniques able to properly manage uncertainties are available, none of these methodologies is integrated on the risk analysis in order to evaluate the error propagation. Also the itself risk analysis is not a precisely defined procedure but rather a complicated process of several parts and, moreover, each part is characterized by its own uncertainty. Several studies highlighted as the phases which mainly contribute to the overall uncertainty of a risk analysis are consequence and vulnerability studies. In order to provide a signifying approach to the problem, the working team has decided to focus their attention on a very important target for population safety: the hydrogen refuelling station for automotive.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

uncertainty; risk analysis; hydrogen; consequence analysis; hydrogen refuelling station

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2008
• Tom: Vol. 1
• Strony: 93--100
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 10 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Carpignano A.

• Politecnico di Torino – Dipartimento di Energetica, Turin, Italy

autor

Ganci F.

• Politecnico di Torino – Dipartimento di Energetica, Turin, Italy

Bibliografia

• [1] Armacost, R. & Pet-Edwards, J. (1999). Integrative risk and uncertainty analysis for complex public sector operational systems. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 33, 105-130.
• [2] Cadwallader, L. C. et al. (1999). Safety Issues with Hydrogen as a Vehicle Fuel. INEEL/EXT-99-00522, Lockheed Martin, Odaho.
• [3] Carpignano, A. & Ponte, E. (2002). The Uncertainty propagation in the simulation of industrial accidents. Proc. European Safety and Reliability Conference ESREL 2002. Lyon, France.
• [4] Lees, F. P. (1996). Loss Prevention in the Process Industries. Butterworths, London.
• [5] Norsk Hydro ASA and DNV. (2003). Risk acceptance criteria for Hydrogen Refuelling Stations. European Integrated Hydrogen Project [EIHP2], Contract: ENK6-CT2000-00442.
• [6] Ogden, J. M. (1999). Developing an Infrastructure for Hydrogen Vehicles: a Southern California Case Study. International Journal of Hydrogen Energy 24.
• [7] DNV, PHAST Professional, handbook to use the software.
• [8] Ponte, E. & Gerboni, R. (2003). Hydrogen fuel cell bus: operating experience in Italy. Proc. European Safety and Reliability Conference ESREL 2003, Maastricht, Netherlands.
• [9] TNO, (1997). Methods for the evaluation of physical effects. “Yellow Book”. Report CPR 14E(III ed.), NL.
• [10] Zimmermann, H. J. (2000). An application-oriented view of modeling uncertainty. European Journal of operational research, 122, 190-198.