PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
Tytuł artykułu

The impact of Ukrainian immigration on inter-voivodship migration in Poland – an attempt to estimate the regional “displacement” effect using the input-output method

Autorzy
Treść / Zawartość
Identyfikatory
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The aim of the article is to estimate the strength of the “displacement” effect of the residents of Polish voivodeships to other regions of the country and determine the regional differentiation caused by the mass inflow of immigrants from Ukraine to Poland in 2022. The study used a modified input-output method, which allows for capturing and balancing both internal and external migration. The first stage of the study consisted in constructing inter-voivodeship migration tables, taking into account the inflow of immigrants from Ukraine. In the second stage of the study, the “displacement” effect was measured using the input-output method, which showed its strong spatial differentiation – the strongest effect was observed in voivodeships with a relatively higher level of the unemployment rate and lower wages (i.e. Warmińsko-Mazurskie and Świętokrzyskie), while the weakest – in voivodeships with large urban centres and capacious labour markets (i.e. Mazowieckie, Małopolskie, Dolnośląskie). The study also revealed a paradox, namely that the eastern provinces closest to Ukraine (i.e. Podkarpackie, Lubelskie) showed a relatively weak capacity to absorb Ukrainian immigrants, whose admission could cause greater disruptions in the local labour markets in these regions than in more distant provinces. The construction of the migration input-output tables was mainly based on data from the Bank Danych Lokalnych Głównego Urzędu Statystycznego (Local Data Bank of Central Statistical Office of Poland) and the Office for Foreigners for the years 2022 and 2015.
Wydawca
Rocznik
Strony
89--114
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 32 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
Bibliografia
  • [1] Bank Danych Lokalnych (BDL). Główny Urząd Statystyczny (GUS). Dane na temat migracji wewnętrznej i zewnętrznej oraz Produktu Krajowego Brutto (w cenach bieżących) na poziomie regionów NUTS2 (Central Statistical Of-fice of Poland (GUS). Data on internal and external migration. Data on Gross Domestic Product (current prices) by NUTS2 regions), [Online], Available: https://bdl.stat.gov.pl/ [22 Dec 2024].
  • [2] Bell, M. and Ward, G. (2000) ‘Comparing temporary mobility with permanent migration’, Tourism Geographies, vol. 2(1), pp. 87–107.
  • [3] Blau, F.D., Kahn, L.M. and Papps, K.L. (2011) ‘Gender, source country characteristics, and labor market assimilation among immigrants’, The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 93(1), pp. 43–58.
  • [4] Bugdalski, B. (2022) ‘Ukraińcy wybierają duże miasta. Na zachód od Wisły’, Article from October 6, 2022, [Online], Available: https://www.portalsa-morzadowy.pl/edukacja/ukraincy-wybieraja-duze-miasta-na-zachod-od-wisly,409690.html [19 Dec 2024].
  • [5] Değer, Ç., Tunalı-Çalışkan, E. and Aydoğuş, O. (2016) ‘Population displace-ment effect of refugees in Turkey: An input-output model based analysis’, Tisk Academy, vol. 11(22), pp. 238–249.
  • [6] Długosz, P., Kryvachuk, L. and Izdebska-Długosz, D. (2022) Uchodźcy wojenni z Ukrainy – życie w Polsce i plany na przyszłość, Lublin: Wydawnictwo Academicon.
  • [7] Edo, A. (2015) ‘The impact of immigration on native wages and employment’, The BE Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, vol. 15(3), pp. 1151–1196, https://doi.org/10.1515/bejeap-2014-0075.
  • [8] Frey, W. (1995) ‘Immigration and internal migration “flight” from US metropolitan areas: Toward a new demographic balkanization’, Urban Studies, vol. 32, pp. 733–757.
  • [9] Giulietti, C., Guzi, M., Kahanec, M. and Zimmermann, K.F. (2013) ‘Unemployment benefits and immigration: evidence from the EU’, International Journal of Manpower, vol. 34(1), pp. 24–38.
  • [10] Gordon, P. and Ledent, J. (1980) ‘Modeling the dynamics of a system of metropolitan areas: a demoeconomic approach’, Environment and Planning A: Economy and space, vol. 12(2), pp. 125–133, https://doi.org/10.1068/a120125.
  • [11] Hatton, T.J. and Tani, M. (2005) ‘Immigration and interregional mobility in the UK, 1982–2000’, The Economic Journal, vol. 115(507), pp. F342–F358.
  • [12] Jarecki, W. (2017) ‘Imigracja z Ukrainy jako źródło podaży pracy w Polsce’, Zeszyty Naukowe Wyższej Szkoły Bankowej w Poznaniu, vol. 74(3), pp. 21–36.
  • [13] Liu, Y. and Xu, W. (2017) ‘Destination choices of permanent and temporary migrants in China, 1985–2005’, Population, Space and Place, vol. 23(1), e1963, https://doi.org/10.1002/psp.1963.
  • [14] Longhi, S., Nijkamp, P. and Poot, J. (2010) ‘Joint impacts of immigration on wages and employment: review and meta-analysis’, Journal of Geographical Systems, vol. 12, pp. 355–387.
  • [15] Miller, R.E. and Blair, P.D. (2009) Input-output analysis. Foundations and extensions, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
  • [16] Operational Data Portal. Ukraine Refugees Situation (2023), [Online], Available: https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine [28 Dec 2024].
  • [17] Perobelli, F.S., de Siqueira, P.L. and Da Silva Freguglia, R. (2015) ‘Migration in Brazil: an input-output exercise for 2010’, Economia Aplicada, vol. 19(4), pp. 625–640.
  • [18] Plich, M. and Skrzypek, J. (2016) ‘Trendy energochłonności polskiej gospodarki’, Wiadomości Statystyczne, vol. 7, pp. 16–38.
  • [19] Polska Agencja Prasowa (PAP) (2022) ‘Z powodu wojny na Ukrainie 10 mln ludzi musiało opuścić swoje domy, a ponad 900 cywilów zginęło’, Article from 20 March, [Online], Available: https://www.pap.pl/aktualnosci/new-s%2C1121161%2Conz-z-powodu-wojny-na-ukrainie-10-mln-ludzi-musialo-opuscic-swoje-domy [18 Dec 2024].
  • [20] Residents – International trade in services (2025) in: Terms used in official statistics. Central Statistical Office of Poland, [Online], Available: https://stat.gov.pl/en/metainformation/glossary/terms-used-in-official-statistics/3180,term.html, accessed 20.03.2025 [20 Mar 2025].
  • [21] Rogers, A. (1966) ‘A note on the Garin–Lowry model’, Journal of the American Institute of Planners, vol. 32(6), pp. 364–366.
  • [22] Saleheen, J. and Shadforth, C. (2006) ‘The economic characteristics of immigrants and their impact on supply’, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin,Winter issue, pp. 374–385.
  • [23] Silvestre, J. (2007) ‘Temporary internal migrations in Spain, 1860–1930’, Social Science History, vol. 31(4), pp. 539–574.
  • [24] Tomaszewicz, Ł. (1994) Metody analizy input-output, Warszawa: Państwowe Wydawnictwa Ekonomiczne.
  • [25] Uchodźcy z Ukrainy w Polsce. Wyzwania i potencjał integracji (2022), Monitor Deloitte.
  • [26] UNHCR (2022) Ukraine Situation Flash Update #4 (18 March 2022), [Online], Available: https://reliefweb.int/report/ukraine/ukraine-situation-flash-update-4-18-march-2022 [17 Dec 2024].
  • [27] Urząd do spraw Cudzoziemców (2024)Raport na temat obywateli Ukrainy, [Online], Available: https://www.gov.pl/attachment/ff39ac5f-0bf7-4d8a-a107-54b57adec31e [28 Dec 2024].
  • [28] Vázquez, E.F., Muñiz, A.S.G. and Carvajal, C.R. (2011) ‘The impact of immigration on interregional migrations: an input–output analysis with an application for Spain’, The Annals of Regional Science, vol. 46, pp. 189–204.
  • [29] Walker, R., Ellis, M. and Barff, R. (1992) ‘Linked migration systems: Immigration and internal labor flows in the United States’, Economic Geography, vol. 68(3), pp. 234–248.
  • [30] White, M.J. and Liang, Z. (1998) ‘The effect of immigration on the internal migration of the native-born population, 1981–1990’, Population Research and Policy Review, vol. 17, pp. 141–166.
  • [31] Wright, R.A., Ellis, M. and Reibel, M. (1997) ‘The linkage between immigration and internal migration in large metropolitan areas in the United States’, Economic Geography, vol. 73(2), pp. 234–254.
  • [32] Zborowski, A. and Gałka, J. (2008) ‘Migracje stałe i czasowe z Polski po akcesji do Unii Europejskiej’, in Ilnicki, D. and Janc, K. (ed.), Przekształcenia regionalnych struktur funkcjonalno-przestrzennych: „Europa bez granic - nowe wyzwania”, Wrocław: Instytut Geografii i Rozwoju Regionalnego Uniwersytetu Wrocławskiego, pp. 27–36.
Uwagi
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa nr POPUL/SP/0154/2024/02 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki II" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki (2025)
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-0b522985-73f9-4a23-837a-e1f0d3e70b46
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.