Projecting sale prices of new container ships built in 2005–2015 based on DWT and TEU capacities

• Autorzy: Cepowski T.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.17402/191

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This paper presents mathematical relationships that allow forecast of the estimated sale price of new container ships, based on data concerning vessels built in 2005–2015. The presented approximations allow estimation of the price based on deadweight capacity (DWT) or the number of containers the ship will carry (TEU). The approximations were developed using linear regression and the theory of artificial neural networks. The presented relations have practical relevance in the estimation of container ship sale price needed in transport studies or preliminary parametric design of the ship. It follows from the above that the use of artificial neural networks to predict the price of a container ship brings more accurate solutions than linear regressions.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

container ship; sale price; cost estimation; DWT capacity; number of containers; TEU capacity; design; artificial neural networks; linear regression; approximation

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
• Czasopismo: Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: nr 48 (120)
• Strony: 171--175
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 9 poz., rys.

Twórcy

autor

Cepowski T.

• Maritime University of Szczecin, Faculty of Navigation 1–2 Wały Chrobrego St., 70-500 Szczecin

Bibliografia

• 1. Abramowski, T. (2008) Application of artificial neural networks to assessment of ship manoeuvrability qualities. Polish Maritime Research 2. pp. 15–21.
• 2. Abramowski, T. (2013) Application of Artificial Intelligence Methods to Preliminary Design of Ships and Ship Performance Optimization. Naval Engineers Journal 125 (3). pp. 101–112.
• 3. Bertram, V. (2000) Practical Ship Hydrodynamics. Butterworth-Heinemann.
• 4. Buczkowski, L. (1974) Podstawy budownictwa okrętowego. T. I–III. Skrypt Politechniki Gdańskiej, Gdańsk.
• 5. Chądzyński, W. (2001) Elementy współczesnej metodyki projektowania obiektów pływających. Prace Naukowe Politechniki Szczecińskiej, Szczecin.
• 6. Michalski, J.P. (2004) Parametric method of preliminary prediction of the building costs. Polish Maritime Research, Special Issue.
• 7. Rawson, K.J. & Tupper, E.C. (2001) Basic Ship Theory (5th Edition). Elsevier.
• 8. Schneekluth, H. & Bertram, V. (1998) Ship Design for Efficiency and Economy. Butterworth/Heinemann.
• 9. Watson, D.G.M. (2002) Practical Ship Design. Gulf Professional Publishing

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie ze środków MNiSW w ramach umowy 812/P-DUN/2016 na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (zadania 2017)