Modelling challenges to forecast urban goods demand for rail

Comi, A.; Nuzzolo, A.

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

Modelling challenges to forecast urban goods demand for rail

Autorzy

Comi A. , Nuzzolo A.

Treść / Zawartość

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Warianty tytułu

Modelowanie prognozowania transportu dóbr w miastach z wykorzystaniem kolei

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

This paper explores the new research challenges for forecasting urban goods demand by rail. In fact, the growing interest to find urban logistics solutions for improving city sustainability and liveability, mainly due to the reduction of urban road accessibility and environmental constraints, has pushed to explore solutions alternative to the road. Multimodal urban logistics, based on the use of railway, seem an interesting alternative solution, but it remained mainly at conceptual level. Few studies have explored the factors, that push actors to find competitive such a system with respect to the road, and modelling framework for forecasting the relative demand. Therefore, paper reviews the current literature, investigates the factors involved in choosing such a mode, and finally, recalls a recent modelling framework and hence proposes some advancements that allow to point out the rail transport alternative.

Artykuł analizuje nowe wyzwania badawcze związane z prognozowaniem transportu dóbr w miastach z wykorzystaniem kolei. Rosnące zainteresowanie znalezieniem logistycznych rozwiązań miejskich, które miałyby poprawić zrównoważony rozwój miasta oraz zwiększyć jakość życia mieszkańców, spowodowane jest zmniejszeniem dostępności do dróg miejskich oraz ograniczeniami środowiskowymi. Wspomniane aspekty wymogły rozpoczęcie badań nad innymi rozwiązaniami niż wykorzystanie dróg. Multimodalne rozwiązania logistyki miejskiej, oparte na wykorzystaniu kolei, wydają się być interesującym rozwiązaniem alternatywnym, jednak pozostają głównie tylko na poziomie koncepcji. W badaniach analizowano czynniki, które skłaniały do odnalezienia konkurencyjnego dla drogi systemu i ramy modelowania dla prognozowania rzeczywistego popytu. W artykule zaprezentowano ocenę bieżącej literatury, badanie czynników wpływających na wybór kolei oraz przypomniano niedawne ramy modelowania. W pracy zaproponowano również nowe rozwiązania, które pozwalają na wskazanie transportu kolejowego jako alternatywy do transportu drogowego.

Słowa kluczowe

urban goods transport urban rail distribution transport service model urban mode choice forecasting transport of goods rail transport

transport towarów miejskich kolej miejska usługi transportowe model usług prognozowanie transportu dóbr transport kolejowy

Wydawca

Wydawnictwo Politechniki Śląskiej

Czasopismo

Transport Problems

Rocznik

2015

Tom

T. 10, z. 4

Strony

75--90

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 50 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Comi A.

comi@ing.uniroma2.it

Tor Vergata University of Rome, via del Politecnico 1, 00133, Rome, Italy

autor

Nuzzolo A.

Tor Vergata University of Rome, via del Politecnico 1, 00133, Rome, Italy

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