The Effect of System Characteristics on Very-Short-Term Load Forecasting

• Autorzy: Katzir L. , Loewenstern Y. , Shmilovitz D.

Warianty tytułu

PL

Odziaływanie cech systemu na krótkoterminowe przewidywanie obciążenia

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The rise of the Smart Grid and Microgrid concepts require load demand control at short lead times, at a resolution of minutes, leading to the need for Very Short Term Load Forecasting (VSTLF). This study builds upon previous research of load forecast and investigates the relationship between system characteristics and the achievable of VSTLF accuracy. The results presented here are based on study and simulated forecasting of three years’ worth of real load data obtained from the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO).

PL

Koncepcje Sieci Inteligentnych oraz MicroSieci wymagają sterowania z krótkim czasem wyprzedzania, rzędu minut, co prowadzi do zapotrzebowania na Bardzo Krótko Terminowe Przewidywanie Obciążenia (ang.: Very Short Term Load Forecasting - VSTLF). Przedstawione badnia są kontynuacją poprzednich nad przewidywaniem obciążenia i dotyczą związku między cechami systemu i osiągalną dokładnością VSTLF. Przedstawione wyniki są oparte na badaniu oraz na modelowaniu trzyletniego przewidywania obciążenia rzeczywistego, na podstawie danych otrzymanych od New York Independent System Operator (NYISO).

Słowa kluczowe

EN

load forecasting; load modelling; power system; smart grid

PL

przewidywanie obciążenia; modelowanie obciążenia; system energetyczny; sieć inteligentna

• Wydawca: Wydawnictwo SIGMA-NOT
• Czasopismo: Przegląd Elektrotechniczny
• Rocznik: 2015
• Tom: R. 91, nr 11
• Strony: 119--123
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 22 poz., rys., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Katzir L.

• Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel

autor

Loewenstern Y.

• Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel

autor

Shmilovitz D.

• Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel

Bibliografia

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