Investigation of alterations in droughts and floods patterns induced by climate change

Rahmani, Farhang; Fattahi, Mohammad Hadi

doi:10.1007/s11600-023-01043-2

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Tytuł artykułu

Investigation of alterations in droughts and floods patterns induced by climate change

Autorzy

Rahmani Farhang , Fattahi Mohammad Hadi

Wybrane pełne teksty z tego czasopisma

https://www.springer.com/journal/11600

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.1007/s11600-023-01043-2

Warianty tytułu

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Every year, droughts and floods cause significant damage to the economy and water resources of the UK. Numerous studies have been explored droughts and floods from various points of view, however few have pointed the variations in the patterns induced by climate change. The precipitation data of Central England in the UK was gathered from 1931 to 2020. The analysis was performed by application of fractal dimension, noise variance, Lyapunov exponent, approximate entropy, extreme climate indices, and Standard Precipitation Index. The cross-correlation results indicated the study area warming owing to CO2 emissions on a global and local scale, implicating the climate change in the study area. Moreover, the mean maximum and minimum temperatures were affected by CO2 emissions on global and local scales, respectively. The nonlinear dynamic analysis indicated that the duration and intensity of the dry and wet spells were increased due to climate change. In other words, the droughts’ intensity and duration were augmented. However, the number of annual droughts and wetness’s have remained unaffected by climate change. The results signified a weakening in the flash floods possibility and an increment in the flash floods severity owing to climate change. Moreover, climate change brought about an intensification in the rivers’ inundation (fluvial floods) probability. The findings of the present study contribute to the understanding of the mechanism of climate change impacts on droughts and floods (flash, pluvial, and fluvial) patterns and furnished references for nonlinear dynamic studies of droughts and floods patterns.

Słowa kluczowe

Standard Precipitation Index SPI extreme climate indices fractal dimension noise variance Lyapunov exponent approximate entropy

standardowy wskaźnik opadów SPI ekstremalne wskaźniki klimatyczne wymiar fraktalny zróżnicowanie hałasu wykładnik Lapunowa przybliżona entropia

Wydawca

Instytut Geofizyki PAN
Springer

Czasopismo

Acta Geophysica

Rocznik

2024

Tom

Vol. 72, no. 1

Strony

405--418

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 62 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Rahmani Farhang

farhang.rahmani@miau.ac.ir

Department of Civil Engineering, Marvdasht Branch Islamic Azad University, Marvdasht, Iran

autor

Fattahi Mohammad Hadi

Department of Civil Engineering, Marvdasht Branch Islamic Azad University, Marvdasht, Iran

Bibliografia

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