Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters

• Autorzy: Jakusik E. , Kołowrocki K. , Kuligowska E. , Soszyńska-Budny J. , Torbicki M.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states. There are given the formulae estimating the probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the particular climate-weather states at the initial moment, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the parameters of the distributions suitable and typical for the description of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the particular climate-weather states. The proposed statistical methods applications for the unknown parameters identification of the climate-weather change process model determining the climate-weather change process parameters for maritime ferry operating at Baltic Sea open waters are presented.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

climate-weather change process; semi-Markov model; modelling; identification; transportation system

• Wydawca: Polskie Towarzystwo Bezpieczeństwa i Niezawodności
• Czasopismo: Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
• Rocznik: 2016
• Tom: Vol. 7, No. 3
• Strony: 73--80
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 24 poz., tab., wykr.

Twórcy

autor

Jakusik E.

• Institute of Meteorology and Water Management - NRI, Warsaw, Poland

autor

Kołowrocki K.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Kuligowska E.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Soszyńska-Budny J.

• Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

autor

Torbicki M.

• Gdynia Maritime University, Gdynia, Poland

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