This article introduces the reader to the theoretical results of systematic research into the future of Czech society, as developed and applied by the CESES working team since 2000. In the first part the paper identifies the main theoretical streams that offer explanations of developmental determinants in contemporary societies, in particular theories on the processes of modernisation and globalisation. The second part demonstrates how the pluralism of possible theoretical concepts, confronted by the need to address specific forecasting tasks within specific time frames, has been projected into a draft concept for a developmental model of Czech society and its modernisation in a global context.
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The article focuses on feelings of political dissatisfaction in Czech society. In the context of widespread citizen disaffection in countries around the world, different explanations about its sources and possible consequences for democracies have appeared. Hence, some studies have pointed out that there may be different types of dissatisfaction that should be analysed separately. Based on this assumption, five types of attitudes are identified in Czech society. They are called satisfied, distrustful, apathetic, estranged, and disenchanted. The analysis of characteristics related to those attitudes suggests that compared to satisfy one, others may be characterized by lower willingness to participate in politics or lower levels of democratic support. This is especially important to consider when we look for possible solution of dissatisfaction for example in expanding opportunities for political participation.
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