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2001 | nr 3 | 3-15
Tytuł artykułu

Poland's Road to Euro : A Review of Options

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
Przedstawione w artykule opinie były zaprezentowane na konferencji zorganizowanej przez Narodowy Bank Polski w Warszawie 22 i 23 października 2001 roku. Autor opisał długoterminowe korzyści ekonomiczne wynikające z wprowadzenia euro i wpływ zwiększenia inwestycji na wzrost gospodarczy i zatrudnienie. Zaprezentowano również rozważania dotyczące wyboru strategii wprowadzenia euro. (MP)
EN
The unilateral euroization strategy, if adopted, would bring forward the substantial benefits which Poland stands to gain by adopting the euro as its national currency. However, the strategy involves a risk that the date of official entry to the EMU will be highly uncertain, possibly much delayed. There-fore this strategy could and should become a serious candidate for consideration only if the Maastricht criteria on inflation and interest rates can be renegotiated. As things stand now, the choice is, effectively, between different variants of what I call the standard strategy. The costs and risks associated with a fast lane variant of this strategy are considerable. However, the initial conditions and potential net gains are such that, I suggest, Poland should attempt to implement that variant. (original abstract)
Słowa kluczowe
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Numer
Strony
3-15
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
Bibliografia
  • Calvo, Guillermo A. and Reinhart, Carmen M. (2000), "Fear of Floating", WP no. 7993, NBER, November.
  • Calvo, Guillermo A., (2000), "Capital Markets and the Exchange Rate: With Special Reference to the Dollarization Debate in Latin America", forthcoming in Journal of Money, Credit and Banking.
  • Dedek, Oldrich (2001), "Currency Shake-up '97: A Case Study of the Czech Economy", mimeo.
  • Dibooglu, Selahattins and Kutan, Ali M., (2001), "Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Transition Economies: The Case of Poland and Hungary", Journal of Comparative Economics, 29 (2): 257-275, June.
  • Dornbusch, Rud (2001), "Fewer monies, better monies" NBER, Cambridge MA, http://www.nber.org/papers/w8144.
  • Friedman, Benjamin M. (2000), "Monetary Policy", NBERWP No. 8057, December, mimeo.
  • Gomulka, Stanisław, (2000), "Macroeconomic Policies and Achievements in Transition Economies, 1989-1999" Economic Survey of Europe, UN, Economic Commission for Europe, Geneva and New York, No. 2/3, pp. 69-83.
  • Gomulka, Stanisław, (2001), "Macroeconomic performance of the main Central European candidates for joining the European Union", Ekonomia, no. 2., Warsaw University.
  • Government of Poland (1999), "The Strategy for Public Finances and Economic Development, Poland 2000-2010" June, Warsaw.
  • Halpern, Laszlo and Wypłosz, Charles, (1997), "Equilibrium Exchange Rates in Transition Economies", IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 44, No. 4, pp. 430-60.
  • Kawalec, Stefan and Krzak, Maciej (2001), "Polityka kursowa i wzrost gospodarczy", http://www.gazeta.pl/alfa/artykul
  • Kopits, George (1999), "Implications of EMU for Exchange Rate Policy In Central and Eastern Europe", IMF WP no. 99/9, Washington B.C. January.
  • Mishkin, Frederic S. (2001), "Financial Policies and the Prevention of Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries", NBER WP No. 8087, January, mimeo (http://www. nber.org/papers/w8087).
  • Obstfeld, Maurice and Rogoff, Kenneth (2000), "The Mirage of Fixed Exchange Rates", Journal of American Perspectives, Fall, 9, 73-96.
  • Reinhart, Carmen M., (2000), "The Mirage of Floating Exchange Rates", American Economic Review, vol. 90, May.
  • Rostowski, Jacek (2001a), "Why unilateral euroization makes sense for (some) applicant countries, with particular reference to Poland", Focus on Transition, Oester-reichisches Nazionalbank, Vienna, forthcoming.
  • Rostowski, Jacek (2001b), "The eastern enlargement of the EU and the case for unilateral euroization", in Financial Vulnerability and Exchange Rate Regime Emerging Markets Experience, eds. M. Blejer and M. Skreb, MIT Press, Cambridge, Mass.
  • Sinn, Hans-Werner and Reutter, Michael (2001), "The Minimum Inflation Rate for Euroland", NBER, WP No. 8085, mimeo.
  • Williamson, John (2000), "Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets: Reviving the Intermediate Option", Institute for International Economics, Washington B.C., September.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000048146677
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